The tactical calculations behind the fall of the city of Kobani

Without substantial aid, beyond the sparse air raids, the Kurdish town of Kobani is bound to fall permanently to the conquest of the army of the caliphate. The strenuous resistance of the Kurdish fighters, not helped by the alliance organized by Obama and without any help from the Turkish side, it is very close to a defeat, which could become a symbol for the black flags of the army of Islam. With this victory, the military jihadists coming in immediate proximity to the border of Ankara and open scenarios are difficult to predict and resolution. It remains difficult to explain how Turkey can tolerate a neighborhood so close with terrorists, fighting completely outside of international law and have assumed behaviors well beyond the limit of the atrocity. You must specify that the situation, formal but largely overcome, says that if Ankara were to cross the borders of the Syrian state, where it is, in fact, Kobani, the regime in Damascus, has already announced that the act would be considered as hostile , a real invasion; However, Assad has long since lost the control and sovereignty over the portion of Syrian territory and his complaint should not have become a symbolic value only. This reading may be even more true if the Turkish armed forces, certainly in a position to make back the forces of the caliphate, should be limited to the control, even as a humanitarian force, in an area so as to create a sort of buffer between Turkey and the caliphate, waiting for new developments. A hypothesis of Turkey's reluctance to act against the Islamic state is the objective of the salvation of the diplomatic staff of the consulate in Mosul kidnapped by jihadists around which negotiations would have been interwoven with the exchange of prisoners. The attempt, however legitimate, to save their officials by the turkish government, would involve a negotiation with the men of the caliphate, which, by implication, would lead to a kind of formal recognition, act in total opposition to the policy of Obama, who has firmly refused any form of negotiation with the terrorists to save American hostages. One must also consider a further possibility, which does not exclude the previous one, to explain the caution Turkish and that may have been dictated by NATO itself. If the army of Ankara were to attack the caliphate, the Islamic state could respond with, say, rocket attacks on Turkish territory, setting up the legal situation of the military to a member of the Atlantic Alliance, which would be obliged to respond in the first person, even with the use of the weapon means over the air. The will of the White House is not to commit actual Americans on the ground. This situation could be resolved with troops from Sunni countries, but, in spite of adherence to the coalition against the Islamic state, the technical details are still far from being solved. It remains the humanitarian emergency for the Kurdish people, to which the United States shall be liable to have been, until now determinants on the ground, action to contain the jihadist forces. The lack of action the United States, in support of Kobani, you can explain how the decision to sacrifice a tactic to force Turkey to an action, in which Ankara is reluctant for the reasons hypothesized above, it must also be said, that the use of the army turkish, that a country's Sunni and technically prepared for the White House is the best solution, because surely be able to defeat the troops of the caliphate on the ground and at the same time to force Assad to those of a probable yield. Inside a makeshift alliance, where mutual trust is lacking, and tactics to achieve a pass result on the lives of thousands of people, but the United States has decided to use the dangerous proximity of the caliphate and Turkey, now neighbors, to give an accelerated to the conflict, even to prevent dangerous infections media in Nigeria, Somalia and to the foothills Muslim of East Asia, in the Philippines. The advance too quickly forces of the Islamic state, would impose other solutions, lighter, but the overall picture of the scenario, is not conducive to reasonable decisions and everything is decided without a planning required and the war goes on tactics that are likely to make more and more powerful the caliphate.