Politica Internazionale

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venerdì 17 ottobre 2014

Turkey is increasingly isolated on the international scene

After the refusal of Turkey to join the EU, Ankara has chosen to embark on a journey that has moved away still more from Europe. Rather than insist on those who were required parameters from Brussels to persuade those who disagree, the country turkish, then starred in an economic boom, he turned to the east with the intention of tracing its influence on the territory of the former Ottoman Empire . Yet the conditions that were more favorable, a large part of the social fabric of the country was now open to a modernization, thanks to an increasingly secular and the same membership as the only Muslim state, the Atlantic Alliance indicated the reliability of Turkey . Apart from the opposition of right-wing movements, there were to be chamfered details, certainly not irrelevant, but that seemed easy to implement in the general framework of the country, such as greater protection of civil rights; it was not secondary issues by European standards, but if the will of Turkey was in that direction could easily make the necessary reforms. If the EU has maintained a rigid attitude in the face of this lack of reforms, Turkey has changed its approach to its domestic political life going from a moderate Islam to one increasingly heavy admixture between political and social life with the religious aspects, encourage large domestic protests. Now it is questionable whether an entry in Europe, these trends would be exhausted, and then the error of the EU would be relevant, or, conversely, if you would be presented in a similar manner even within the European Union, going to be a problem difficult to manage for Brussels, and in this case the decision to keep Ankara outside the European institution would be correct and would have prevented further possible reasons for dissolution in addition to those already present. In the light of developments in Turkish politics this second evaluation is the most correct: Ankara has become increasingly secular and sought to establish itself as a reference in an area, Arabic, based on its own characteristics of new Muslim state; do not know if this has happened as a reaction to the rejection of Europe, but it is a fact, for example, that Turkey is one of the greatest allies of the Muslim Brotherhood, an organization that touches extremism and that, when he had the chance to come to power in Egypt, has been characterized by a deep aversion to the democratic method. Even on the Kurdish issue, it is difficult to believe that Turkey would not keep the current line. From this argument it goes straight to the immediate problem of the moment, which is made on the reliability of the country in the war against the caliphate, a problem to which the Western democracies are very sensitive on the principles, but, apparently, not in practice. The problem arises primarily within the Atlantic Alliance, where the conduct of Ankara is in stark contrast with the United States and the other members of the coalition. This has resulted in further diplomatic defeat, almost equal to that of exclusion from the EU, consisting of the failure to achieve the conquest of a seat as a non-permanent seat in the UN Security Council. The Turkish legitimate ambition was to break that vicious, not virtuous, that Turkey has partially isolated from the international scene, thwarting its ambitions to recreate, albeit in different ways and manner, a replica of the Ottoman Empire in a version of the present century . What does not seem to be understood by the government in Ankara is that the changed conditions in the region, mainly due to the onset of war, no longer have the conditions of a few years ago. The growing importance of a phenomenon as the Islamic state, which is perceived by the majority of countries, as a factor of profound destabilization of the balance of world power, it does not seem a concern shared by Turkey, which not only allow the passage through their borders for foreign fighters, making it responsible for the rise of a caliphate, do not adequately show to share the concerns of its own allies, chief among them the United States, with which the mutual relationship is going through a period of crisis. What appears is that the country has made turkish, to western eyes, that is the world in which aspired to enter, a series of evaluations that do not conform to the standards of the West, but at the same time has become the protagonist of contrasts also with the countries of the Arab world, ending up in an isolation that was the exact opposite of the result that Ankara wanted to get. Now to Turkey real risk is to fold in on itself and its own internal problems and be cut off from important decisions in which it could make a big contribution.

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