Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 6 novembre 2014

Obama and the Republicans will have to work for two years

The defeat suffered by the results of the polls, puts Obama in a difficult position for the remaining two years in office. The reasons for the Republican victory sensations from Europe is mixed: the achievements of the White House in the economy are enviable for any premier European, Obama's strategy has significantly reduced the use of American troops in the theater of war and the law changed the access to health care provided assistance to as many as 30 million Americans; the weak point was the foreign policy, where the US has suffered a hesitant behavior, which has challenged the supremacy of the world. It should be emphasized that for any other president to come next, will repeat the geopolitical factors that led the United States to establish itself as the most important actor on the international scene since the fall of the Soviet Union, however, if this topic European sensibility is high does not seem to be so for the average American voter. The poor outcome of the Democratic Party has been explained as a failure to comply with the programs Obama and the non-renewal of the American dream, but in terms of domestic politics, the results were far from contemptible. In any case, the two-year mandate to conclude that Obama will be characterized by a Republican majority in both houses of the US Congress, which will force the president and the legislature to a forced collaboration, discarding the positions of principle, at least on the most relevant, not to block the country and generate, adverse sentiments in light of the election which will renew the president of the United States. This could, however, encourage a greater dialogue between the two parties, which could bring benefits to the country. In economic matters, the Republicans have already announced their intention to avoid sending the country into default and put the program in the discussion of the budget law, with the clear intention to avoid lengthy discussions took place last year, so not going to affect markets financial and, above all, do not block the functioning of the state. Similarly, the policy on expanding internal infrastructure and the agreement with Europe for the creation of a free trade area, should not be a problem finding a common understanding.
  The will to defeat the Islamic state Obama is well known, here the Republicans should provide full cooperation for a greater commitment, as always claimed by the most responsible party, who often reproached the White House decided a little attitude. The tactic to take, however, is controversial: Obama does not intend to engage with people on the ground and the Republicans need to maintain a balance with the party that wants to return to the role of world policeman in the US, with the electorate who do not like spending public too burdensome for the state coffers to international issues. Another important objective of Obama is the closure of negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue, the fixed goal is to reach an agreement within three or four weeks, although large parts of the Republicans are opposed to negotiations, a success in this regard could be shared with the President so that you can spend in the next election campaign. The strong point of contention is the issue of regularization of illegal immigrants, which probably is the cause of the defeat of Obama, the turnout of Latinos, a large reservoir of votes for the Democrats. Republicans remain opposed on this point, even if you factor in the Hispanic vote is a concern for the American right; considering this aspect you can predict a deal halfway taking into account the needs of both parties, although for the particular aspect of the question is easy to predict that the negotiations will be long.

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