Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 11 dicembre 2014

Israel: the Labour Party and the formation of Livni, are allied against Netanyahu

Netanyahu's decision to undertake a sectarian connotation for the state, so as to favor relations with the nationalist right to the detriment of the center, has produced a political earthquake in the country, which led to the fall of the government and elections, scheduled for March 17. The Israeli prime minister has gambled for sanctioning the victory of one side intransigent policy, which is based on the expansion of settlements and in which the two-state solution would look definitely impossible, raising the issue between Israel and Palestine at the center of international scene but as a factor of profound regional instability. In fact the choice of Netanyahu appears not without risk for a possible eventual success: the country, in fact, appears to split in half and at the moment the situation is very uncertain about the possible winner of the elections. The center-right bloc is definitely strong and can count on the support of the settlers and those who, in addition to the ultra-nationalists, argue for the unity of Israeli territory according to the Bible and see, therefore, welcome the direction taken by 'now former premier. For this part of the compromise with the Palestinians is not provided and the strength demonstrated in Gaza makes them lean, ultimately, to an expulsion from what they consider Israeli territory in effect, you do not know in what ways and in what time or, as a last imagines them confined in smaller portions of territory, just like in Gaza, to live in inhuman conditions. It is clear that such a solution would get only further exacerbate tempers and might bring Israel to a state of constant tension for fear of attacks continues. Even the fear of this scenario is based alliance that could put in big trouble the draft Netanyahu: that between the movement of Tzipi Livni and the Labour Party, led by Isaac Herzog. It is a center-left alliance, which may have differences on domestic policy, especially the economic one, but that assumes a position of responsibility to stem the trend confessional embraced by the center-right. It should be remembered that Tzipi Livni has always called favorable to the solution of two states on the territory of a solution supported publicly by the US, so in case of election victory negotiations with the Palestinians could resume on other projects. The agreement between the two teams expected, in case of victory, a rotation in office as prime minister, which will be held for two years by Herzog and for the next two by Livni. The goal is to reach at least the capture of 61 seats out of total 120 that make up the Israeli parliament. This goal is difficult to achieve when no other allies, given the great political fragmentation of the country. Statistical surveys, for now give training Labour united with that of Livni, from 20 to 24 seats, while that of Netanyahu 20 or 21. In a landscape so uncertain it is believed that a formation capable of reaching 20 seats might be able to form a coalition executive. Between now and the election date the new electoral alliance must know convince Israeli voters of the goodness of a project in which the central prospect of peace with the Palestinians, to come out even international isolation in which the policy of Netanyahu has thrown the country just as between the parliaments of the European states increased instances to their governments, for the official recognition of the Palestinian state.

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