Putin tip on nationalism against the economic crisis

Criticized at home for the effects of the sanctions, Putin held his annual address to parliament, accusing the West to carry out a policy of containment of Russia and to implement a tactic of disintegration of the country comparable to that carried out in Yugoslavia. With these statements the Russian president seeks to achieve two aims: one internal and one external. On the latter comparison with Yugoslavia seeks to stimulate the sympathies that Serbia reserves to Russia to provoke yet another annoyance to the European Union, the entrance to which Belgrade is bidding. Moscow would be a success slow down, if not stop, the process of inclusion of Serbia strongly desired by Berlin. Create an area of strong opposition to Europe in a country so central to be become a strategy on which Putin is focusing, thanks to the favors that collects in the Slavic country, where many sectors of society feel more akin to Russia that in Brussels and where you can still take advantage of the resentment for the intervention of NATO during the war of the dissolution of Yugoslavia. Domestically Putin must convince his fellow citizens, that the West is applying a scheme similar to the one which favored the dissolution of Yugoslavia, with impunity falsifying the historical data. Russian President part of the assumption that not only Ukraine and Crimea were an integral part of Russian territory, not implicitly recognizing the sovereignty of Kiev, but that other former Soviet territories are the responsibility of Moscow. Putin aims wounded national pride, a sense in which the Russians are very sensitive and that allowed him, in competition with others, to get the repeated political successes. However, the effects of the sanctions have caused a significant deterioration in the economy of the country, plagued by inflation and a decline in purchasing power caused also by the descent of the oil price. Economic forecasts of Moscow must then undergo a further downward and concurrently, however unexpected, including sanctions and decline in crude oil, are likely to create social tension, that nationalist sentiments could not avert. Putin has alerted the central bank to implement a strong defense of the ruble, which will result in a massive intervention in the market with an activity aimed at strengthening the productive core of the country, differentiating it from the primary sector. For years, Russia has formed its wealth with energy materials, but did not create an industrial structure that supports such a large country. Exploit the raw materials was the safest and fastest way to produce a liquid which, however, has not been invested in the internal structures, but rather in financial adventures abroad. This mode is valid as long as there were no clashes with weights where these funds were exported. The embargo has deprived the country so the gains from foreign investment and left him unprepared to handle the crisis with its own industrial structure capable of absorbing the effects of the sanctions. In this field, Putin has been far-sighted and the measure designed to encourage the return of capital without any penalty is the implicit admission of guilt of the absence of an economic project who could go beyond the exploitation of raw materials. Currently Russia is presented as a nation hit in the only leading sector and then, having diversified its production capacity, in a state of crisis, that any easing of sanctions, could only mitigate. This factor does not change the foreign policy of Putin on Ukraine and then the tension with the West remains high, this follows from the instrumental use of the guilt of the west of the world against domestic public opinion. The mix between the present economic mismanagement and errors International compel Putin to maintain its course of action, which in the case of aggravation of the situation is likely to be accentuated, with obvious repercussions on the stability of the world, at a stage where the most important nations should find a lowest common denominator that can aggregate them to resolve conflicts emerging more and more able to become global issues.