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lunedì 29 dicembre 2014

The European Union looks with apprehension to Greece

For the EU the Greek situation is a great cause for concern: if you do not come to a conclusion for the presidential election, will snap the early general elections. Polls see advantage in the Greek left, which, at the base of your program, the renegotiation of the public debt of the country with Brussels. What is looming is a debt restructuring with a negotiation with the creditors, which will have repercussions on the relations of the countries of southern Europe, but not only, with the setting of strict EU, wanted by Germany. To resolve their situation, Greece needs the help of a last tranche of 1.8 billion, without these Greece risks bankruptcy, but the creditors could not collect their loans and the entire euro area would be interested in a reversal, which could not go to affect political relations, both between states and within the European Union. Juncker is well aware of this possibility, it is becoming less remote, and it is expressed in a very contrary to a rise to power of extremist forces which defined. For the EU would be the first time to have intercourse with a government openly opposed to the financial policy of Brussels, an aspect that goes beyond the protests, which are very numerous, but always coming from movements and opposition forces. This case could trigger a transverse movement, which could go in a complete political movements adverse to the financial policy of the EU, which squeezed the incomes of the middle class and lower, without giving in exchange for nothing more than a monetary stability conducive only to large banking and financial groups, acting mainly on job cuts, the purchasing power of wages and pensions and substantial reduction of the welfare systems. The nervous warnings of Germany, the main responsible for this state of affairs and of which has benefited in a manner contrary to the European spirit, remained on paper, show that the evolution of the situation in Berlin is much feared. What is surprising is that, both from Brussels, that the German capital have not announced measures to reduce the stiffness, able to avert a way by which you may not return. The Greek situation has become extreme values: the contraction in the Greek economy has a value of a decrease of 22% over four years, with unemployment, which affects more than a quarter of the population; this is a potential cause of social tension, that could go far beyond the protest expressed in the voting booth, with a vote that could favor a party strongly opposed to the solutions imposed by the troika, but all in all, certainly not anti-system, albeit with some necessary clarifications. In fact, the leader of Syriza has long since launched a series of contacts to reassure European bureaucrats, however, the political upheaval that could take place in Athens would cause, according to analysts, as well as the reversal of the economic improvements that are taking place in the country, a major impact on politically overall European Union, causing a state of political instability within the European institutions, with an inevitable worsening of relations between the executive of the countries opposed to the dominant interests. But there is also a counterpoint to these concerns and is the concrete possibility to start discussions, look for other optics, which are not banks or the protection of those who have the wrong investment for short-term gains, throwing the cost on the community . A victory of the Greek left is not as dangerous as a victory of the National Front in France or anti European movements in other countries, posing as the destruction of the scaffolding European solution, to be replaced by a return to the old order now anachronistic and out history. The Greek Left does not want to leave the EU, wants to conditions that do not strangle the people, after all, is only one version of who wants to push slacks stability of the absurd constraints imposed by Germany; certainly not a total re-discussion should be put into account, but it is said that this will be bad.

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