Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 28 gennaio 2015
Obama's visit to Saudi Arabia
In the economy of the US international relations, the visit of President Obama in Riyadh, is particularly important, especially during the change of leadership of the country because of the Saudi monarch's death in office. The complicated process of succession provided by the rules of Saudi Arabia, which go back to the Bedouin traditions, function offline vertical but horizontal, so the new occupant of the throne Arab is a brother, rather than a son of the previous ruler. With the new King, Salman, Obama reiterated the absolute importance of the link between the two countries, hoping a continuity of relations on the existing line. The alliance between Saudi Arabia and the United States is deemed crucial by Washington from both the military and economic terms, however, some disturbing factors have significantly worsened relations between the two countries, especially in the second term of Obama. Riyadh has in fact enjoyed the location, deemed too conciliatory, on negotiations for the Iranian nuclear issue, judging Washington too soft with the traditional opponents of Tehran; also the hesitation of the White House against the Assad regime, have been interpreted as a sign of weakness and lack of attention, just to the reasons of Saudi Arabia. The Gulf monarchy has thus embarked on an ambiguous policy, support to radical Islamic forces, who would later founded the Islamic state, recently disowned for fear of becoming in turn a victim of the sights of the caliphate. Obama hopes that the new ruling, while maintaining strong alliance with the US, changes a little attitude Arabia, acknowledging the need for global security, even at the expense of the interests of their own country. On this level there is already a deep understanding about the use of the oil price to counter the Russian activity and damage the Iranian economy, but the American intentions are to involve Saudi Arabia, both on the diplomatic level, which over the military. on the emergence of the Islamic State. To do this, Obama will have to balance the demands on the American end of the Treaty on the Iranian nuclear issue and find a solution that will lead to military defeat of Assad. The timing for this second requirement, however, does not appear certain short: the insecurity of the fight against Islamic state, see the dictator of Damascus still play an essential role within the framework of the issue, the alternation of a skillful conduct, which favored indirectly now the democratic opposition to the detriment of the Islamic forces followed by the opposite. According to analysts better relationships between the two states have registered at the presidential figures expressed by Republicans, conservative and oriented to a policy more reckless and less attentive to issues such as human rights, on which the Obama administration has shown more attention. These reasons explain why a large presence of conservative leaders in the visiting delegation in the Saudi capital. Particular importance also involved the issue of Yemen, which is currently without a government, which it shares with Saudi Arabia 1,800 kilometer border and that worries the United States for the awakening of Al Qaeda; but on ways to restore stability to the state of Yemen, the two governments are not in agreement, as the White House, would prefer to provide help to the rebels near Iran, invisible, for this reason, the Saudis. The impression on the reasons for Obama's visit, which has reduced the one to do it in India, is that the US attempt an approach with Saudi Arabia, which can resolve the differences that have arisen in recent times, taking the opportunity the change at the top, however, the continuity of the Saudi regime does not seem to provide a good chance to do so if it were not present the variable of the caliphate, that both countries want to defeat as soon as possible. If this goal is reached it is likely that the differences of views will return to worsen.
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