Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 10 febbraio 2015
Iran invites the great powers to reach an agreement on the nuclear issue
The need to reach agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue is at the center of attention of Obama and Rohani. Iranian President called on the major powers to seize the opportunity to achieve the goal, on the basis of the progress made by Iran. This is also an implicit answer as applied by US President, who recently wondered if Iran had the political will to reach agreement. According to the Iranian President progress in the negotiations would be tangible, although there is still some distance between the parties to fully define the issue. Essentially Iran invites counterparties to shorten these distances, being also in the interest of Tehran to conclude the negotiations in order to free the country from sanctions in full. One of the fears of Iran, but also of the same Obama that failure to reach agreement could result in the opinion of the majority of the US Congress, in the hands of the Republicans, the adoption of new sanctions, which would render vain diplomatic efforts has made so far and would subject the country to new Iranian economic difficulties. It must be remembered that at the center of the electoral program of Rohani, there was just reaching an agreement with the West to remove the sanctions and improve the lives of the population; this particular, that was the basis of the electoral victory of the Iranian president in office, has so far succeeded only in part, thanks to the reduction of sanctions, because of the availability of Tehran to participate in the negotiations. Iran also has to exploit the connection to be, in fact, a US ally in the war against the caliphate, where troops of Tehran have distinguished themselves on the ground at the side of the Kurds in the border with Iraq. This fact facilitates the attitude of Obama, in need of help against the Islamic state, to a successful conclusion, a factor to be reckoned with, especially if coupled with the fact that the outgoing President wants to finish his term without leaving the outstanding issue, however, feeling that the Iranians take time is a tangible aspect, because you do not see the need to extend the deadline of 31 March, set for reaching political, preparatory to the final to be reached by July. This new situation has proposed following the highest authority in Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who said he was opposed to the definition of the agreement in two phases, as he had previously accepted the same country of Iran, defining this calendar an unnecessary imposition of rules and caveats by the great powers. It remains clear that with such a change in the deadline of 31 March would be overcome and it would go directly to that of July without any prior agreement. On this slip fit the doubts of the parties to the agreement to the contrary, they see in this time gained the period necessary to complete their studies on the military, rather than civilian nuclear Iran. Moreover Tehran has threatened explicitly to use the facilities, now still, with centrifuges capable of enriching uranium, fueling suspicions of those who believe that the intentions of the Iranians are opposed to the allegations. The situation is bound to an evolution not easy to predict, with possible consequences on more than one scenario; certainly if Iran will miss the commitment that had signed will fuel doubts that they will not be called illegitimate.
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