Obama suspends decision on the supply of weapons to Ukraine

Not to split the Western Front, on the measures to be taken against Russia, the main actors of the scenario, Obama and Merkel, they decide to take time to clarify within their coalition, with the excuse of providing food for thought to Putin . US President leaves open the possibility of supplying weapons to Ukraine, but in fact by the time the measure was stopped by the opposition of the European, which fears a military escalation out of control near their borders. The direction toward which the stubborn Merkel pushes the question is that of a negotiation to the bitter end, the only diplomatic solution as an outlet provided. For now, the countries of Western Europe are also opposed to new sanctions against Moscow, not to jeopardize the chances of finding an agreement, which would ensure at least a temporary ceasefire. This solution is not acceptable to Washington, they would prefer to give the Kremlin a few showdown to balance the attitude of Putin and, above all, to appease the American home front, where he is increasingly assuming importance the transverse axis between Republicans and part Democrats in favor of the supply of arms to Kiev; if the position of the party opposed to that of the President of the United States is obvious, it seems more relevant to the opinion of several former members of staff of the White House and the Democratic Party, including the candidate in the primaries Hillary Clinton, on the non-exercise of power presidential provide weapons suited to the defense of the borders of Ukraine, in the face of budget already allocated. Obama, at this stage, confirming his line of conduct, resilient to the recent international crisis, which has prevailed nonintervention. This aspect, which has been criticized by Republicans to the President, reminding unfulfilled threats against Assad, when he has used chemical weapons, is likely to pass Obama conditioned by excessive indecision in the treatment of international issues that concern, albeit indirectly, the interests Americans; actually the tenant of the White House, at this juncture, can not be accused of excessive wait-and, as the feedback that underlie the decision to suspend the supply of weapons do not appear at all negligible. Indeed, the finding that the military supremacy of the Russian armed forces, if they were entering the game, does not allow even the slightest chance of victory in the Ukrainian, also equipped with the most sophisticated American weaponry. This aspect can hardly be denied to Obama, must be kept in mind especially those who want to avoid direct involvement of American soldiers or the Atlantic Alliance directly over the disputed territory. If the Russian reaction to the supply of arms to Kiev materializes with an official entry into the war by the Red Army, Washington could only respond with a similar deployment of troops, creating the conditions for a clash with global reach. The fact remains that these fears, that worry most western Europeans, Putin bases its strategy to delay the solution of the crisis to come to extend permanently the Russian influence on the eastern regions of Ukraine. Not even the sanctions, but they still put in serious difficulties Russia's economy, combined with maneuver on oil prices, have caused a decline of the positions of the Kremlin, which is conducting a mock tactic available, but in reality, has not yet given nothing to the other party. It must be stated, however, that if the Ukrainian crisis for Europe is the source of greatest concern to the geopolitical and economic repercussions, the Obama administration seems to be one of the many international issues of which the United States must deal with, also the eve the definition of the negotiation for the Iranian nuclear issue, Washington does not want to give too much emphasis to the dispute with Moscow, which is also engaged on the issue of Tehran. Obama aims to prevent the US Congress will have the opportunity to issue new sanctions against Iran, which would destabilize the progress so far laboriously carried out and for which Russian cooperation is required. All these factors lead to a more favorable condition for the tactics of Germany, which goes even for diplomatic solution; indeed, from the point of view of the impact of weapons the intentions of Berlin are the best, everything is going to see if they are successful. In this view be certain what will happen in Minsk, where the German Chancellor, the French President, the Ukrainian and Putin will have a summit to try to stop the violence. If there was still a stalemate, the situation is bound to unpredictable developments.