The political significance of the commitment of Jordan against the Caliphate

The pulse of the action against the Jordanian Islamic state is putting in difficulty the caliphate, both from the military point of view, and politically. The significance of the increase in aviation bombings in Jordan, has taken on a political value, which probably has an even greater significance of the valuable results military. In fact, the great efforts made by the country of Jordan, whose population is 95% Sunni, in the front line against the caliphate, is the largest response to high levels of a Muslim state against the Islamic state. In addition to military action, have been important the strong statements condemning the reading of Islam proposed by jihadists, who, finally, represented the more moderate vision of the Arab religion. On this front, it plays an important battle, represented by the legitimacy of the reading of the Koran, in a confession that lacks a spiritual guide universally recognized so as to contain the most extreme pressures. The voice of the more moderate Muslims, that is certainly the majority, had been far too timid against the actions of the caliphate, which were in danger of having a tacit legitimacy, founded precisely on the silence of the most moderate. For the US and the Western powers, the basic problem was real, because risked not to implant enough the need for a determined struggle against the Islamic state. In fact, if the front of the Shiites, the problem was never obvious place for religious conflicts, the lack of a strong support of the Sunnis threatened to be a secondary factor not to undermine the unity of the caliphate. However, the new attitude of the Jordanian government, which seems to be followed so convinced by the majority of the population, while constituting a novelty factor, not yet allowed to acquire as established this trend in all the part of the Sunni Muslims. Within the same Jordan, there are still many volunteers who have entered the ranks of the Caliphate, a common phenomenon in all Arab countries, committed to living in the same territory, with a totally distorted Islam, guided by the more absurd extremism and the exasperation of the application of religious precepts into civilian life. This layer of fundamentalism is critical to the success of the caliphate, that will be applied on a large scale, to make fundamental legislation of a potential state which is the state Islamic sharia. This aspect touches different feelings in the landscape of the Arab world, which, as seen by the outcome of the Arab Spring, it does not seem quite ready for a full application of the practice of democracy, understood as it is lived in the western world. This reading was the basis of erroneous interpretations, which took place on the basis of the enthusiasm, the Western world about the political upheavals that have passed through the Arab world and led to impossible expectations, except for the case of Tunisia, to be checked. The error thus must not be repeated, the West must rely on its Muslim allies, but must not get caught by the easy enthusiasm for course changes, which seem to be taken more in the wake of great emotional impact. The fight for the Islamic state is one thing and the advancement of democracy is another. Certainly there is a necessity of the Arab states to contain the danger of the Islamic State, which is aimed at keeping the power of the bodies which control it and in this context should also be read properly the largest military commitment in the fight to the Islamic state. But this increase in the Jordanian military response can become a factor driving even for states Sunni neighbors. Greater involvement of the Gulf monarchies will be determined for the defeat of the Islamic state more quickly, without expecting a greater concession on the issue of civil rights. From the military standpoint is maturing the idea of a commitment on the ground, which, as shown by the Kurds, is the field of battle affects the outcome of the conflict. There are several indications that the current strategy is to divide the Syrian side of the Iraqi forces of the caliphate, interrupting connections and then supplies, then groped for a ground offensive to be made in the spring. Probably will be intensified bombing and act at the same time on the edge of financial availability of the Islamic state, to reduce its spending power. The problem will be determined, in case of success of the annihilation of the caliphate, the management of the fighters, who will be in a position to do no harm, but with different methods than those adopted after September 11. The adoption of repressive methods totally did not pay and was the basis for the revival of Islamic terrorism: from now on you have to think about different methods to avoid being caught off guard in the management of the phenomenon.