The element Iran as a complication in the fight against Islamic state

Despite the offensive was launched on Tikrit Iraq, the divisions, especially religious and political, within the coalition, which has to fight the Islamic state, show that the current military choices can favor, in the medium term, just the caliphate. The first element is the absence of US forces, which will not support the forces of the country from the skies of Iraq. This fact is a consequence of the presence of more and more important element of Iran in collaboration with the army of Iraq. This factor is likely to reduce the war to the Islamic state, rather than as a fight against terrorism, in a religious issue between Shiites and Sunnis. Baghdad would have disregarded the explicit requests of Washington, in order to involve the Sunnis, both in the regular army, which by the tribes against the militants of the caliphate, to prevent the exploitation of a religious war, which could remove valuable allies Iraq and helped to misrepresent the actual reasons for the conflict. Mail involvement of an Iranian general, head of the elite forces of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, has now shown that Tehran is extremely involved in the issue. It must be specified that Iraq needs a support material on the ground: the Kurds are not enough numerically and Western countries and those of the Gulf monarchies have shown no intention of risking their soldiers. For Iran it was easy to fit into this vacuum, Tehran has had, first of all, the immediate interest of keeping far from its borders forces of the Islamic State, then, once on the ground, and favored by the common religion with Shiite the Iraqi government, has forged increasingly close relations with the government in Baghdad. It is evident that Iran could take advantage of the political situation that might arise once defeated the caliphate. The United States, in the official statements made by military personnel, they reveal embarrassment about the presence of the important character of Iran, suggesting that there is a complete coordination with the Iraqi command. To confirm the presence of the high official, there would be the statements of representatives of Hezbollah. According to rumors, it would be an ongoing military alliance against the caliphate, that would involve, in addition to Iraq and Iran, also Syrian troops and Hezbollah fighters, who would give connotations of religious conflict too marked, also the position of the United States would be put in difficulty by the presence of the Syrians, with whom Obama did not want to have any relationship and for the participation of Hezbollah, considered a terrorist movement. The need for ground combat would thus relegated to the United States to the protagonist of the second floor, with consequences contrary to the interests of Washington, about the peace between Sunnis and Shiites in the stabilization of the country of Iraq with a view close to the US. However, if the intention of Iran is to extend its influence over Iraq, guided only by the Shiite minority, the problem of the caliphate, even assuming a possible defeat of the Islamic state, is expected to recur, and expanded in other forms, which could invest the international scene. One of the causes of the rapid spread of the Islamic state in the territories of the Sunni Iraqis it was the opposition between Shiites and Sunnis and the disproportionate division of power in favor of the first in the state born after the fall of Saddam Hussein. A greater presence of Iran, would raise, then, the problem of the long-confrontation between Tehran and Saudi Arabia, unwilling to advance Iranian influence to below its borders, without neglecting the safety of Israel's opposition. One of the current problems and not conceivable is the presence among the ranks of the Iranian military present in the attack Tikrit formations already featured in episodes of barbarism similar to those made by the men of the caliphate; This comment has been made by the Human Rights Watch and could be a valid reason to overturn the balance present, giving opportunity to a new impetus to the Islamic state. The situation is explosive and does not bode well, removing the solution of the Syrian Iraqi, and indeed bringing elements of further aggravation. A safe liability is attributable to Americans who kept being too shy, like their Western partners, leaving too much room for maneuver in Shiite government in Baghdad, which has too involved Iran, its natural ally; but also has depended on the status quo of the United Nations, a relief that now occurs all too often in the reliefs of the UN involving negative.