The possibility of a final agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue, alarm, not only Israel, but also, and perhaps above all the monarchies of the Gulf of Sunni Islam, traditionally adverse to the practiced in Iran, the main town for Shiites. The respective aversion, running from religious reasons and get to geopolitical issues, must now be framed in a broader spectrum, which covers the evolution of the fight against Islamic state, until the Palestinian issue. Nor are the many strangers in foreign policy mistakes made by Washington, which has pursued a goal at a time, losing the overall picture. After four years of war in Syria, the initial mistake of not fighting Assad, reverberates multiplied in the current situation. Since then they have created favorable conditions for the formation of the caliphate, probably financed by the Sunni monarchies, safe could control it with evident purpose anti Syria and then anti Iran, which has become the main problem of the White House. In fact it should be for all the states of the Middle East, which, however, have not been able to put up a good strategy to its expansion, finding nothing better than to provide scarce aid and shut themselves inside their own borders. This myopia has favored the action of Tehran, the only country to fall on the battlefield with their auditors, who have supported the Kurds and the Iraqi regular army, led by a Shiite government. This element represents a further aggravating the American choices against Baghdad, where they are known not to involve moderate Sunni parties in the government of the country. Obama did not convenient to have to go beyond the use of aviation against the Islamic state, but the gun air alone can not win in a conflict without the use of conventional ground troops. Presence was probably beginning the Iranians have worked unofficially with the US, the first to defend their territory and then to gain more attention because of the success of the nuclear negotiations. But now the real military successes have led to a new perspective for Tehran to exert a real influence on a state mainly Iraqi Shia. This possibility, very concrete, allows to increase the specific gravity of Iran's political, both in the Middle East, that in a potential deal to bring peace in Syria, exerting his influence in favor of the ally Assad, also framed as a possible tool against the Islamic state, present with his troops in Syria. All of this picture is totally adverse to the Gulf monarchies and especially Saudi Arabia. It is no coincidence, in fact, that the grievances, already submitted in the past against the eventual agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue, have now registered a higher intensity. The real threat is that a deal with Tehran, open a run-up to the construction of nuclear power plants, all classified as civil use, in all the countries of the Gulf, which, however, have already initiated contacts with the countries leading suppliers of these technologies. For the US and other major powers, the risk is the opening of a series of new negotiations, with repercussions on the entire balance of the region. The intention is primarily to balance Arab Iranian facilities, in a sort of balance of terror in the Middle Eastern version, which would distort the dream world long pursued a planet free from nuclear facilities. The American assurances of a peaceful use of energy for which the costs of disposal are increasingly burdensome, seem to weaken in the face of a proliferation of systems that could become military civilians. On the other hand, the Iranian case is not too far to reach a solution, but if Israel, perhaps with a new government can be more easily calmed, the situation of Sunni allies of the United States, can represent a management even more difficult. The great mistake of Washington is to be arrived at this point without having solved the very beginning the Syrian issue, imposing secular forces that opposed the regime and not having immediately panned the development of the caliphate. With these two elements in favor in hand, the White House would handle more easily and safely negotiations on Iran's nuclear and relationships of balance in the Middle East region, conversely, with the current situation, full of unknowns and the development of the very uncertain problems of diplomacy, rather than decrease is bound to increase and become even more complicated.
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