The reasons for the expansion of the caliphate

The evolution of the Islamic State imposes a careful analysis, also to understand the reason for the request of the powers of war, made by President Obama to the US Congress. In the internal struggle to Islamic radicalism, has long underestimated the growth of the caliphate, preferring to opt for greater control of what was the first enemy: Al Qaeda. Fought a long time, the organization of Osama Bin Laden has been practically defeated militarily, but these were not attenuated those historical and geopolitical reasons, that had the success. The Islamic fundamentalist movement is not finished, but it was kept alive and represented a culture medium abundant, for emerging terrorist movements, which have been able to intercept the feelings and potential. One of the biggest mistakes of the US and the West has been to not assist a political and civil action, capable of filling the void left by Al Qaeda, favoring movements moderate Muslims, come to economic growth and civil, capable of promoting national identity, in a well defined policy framework and placed in the presence of religion, understood in a less radical. Having missed this intent has favored the proposal came from exactly the opposite Caliphate, which was presented as a pan-Islamic movement and then transnational. To encourage this trend, there have been errors of international crisis management of Syria and Iraq, and the conclusion, often not expected of the Arab Spring, which has formed a layer of dissatisfaction, capable of generating a broad support to the project of the Islamic State. Although all of the fundamentalist movement, especially in its components paramilitaries, is very divided on the inside, and the attractiveness of aggregation that is exerting the caliphate, allowed him to affiliate groups, which allowed him to create a network wide and widespread in Arab countries, which should not be underestimated. If Syria and Iraq war takes place on the field and in a way, after all, conventional, in other countries the fluid structure that adheres to the caliphate, creates new risks, able to keep pressure on entire countries. The organic military in Syria and Iraq is estimated at between 20,000 and 30,000 units, which can count on armaments of all respect, both light and heavy. These men have made the defense of the territory their strength, imposing by terror and authentic ethnic cleansing, the affirmation of an entity can pretty much stiffer state based on the application of Islamic law. The intention now is to expand this organization in other areas of the world where the presence of Islam can justify this approach. Not a threat recently, the caliphate would aim to expand in Afghanistan, Algeria, Libya, Egypt, Yemen, Lebanon, Tunisia, Saudi Arabia and Jordan. These are countries with different situations, but all united by the large number of fighters who have swelled the ranks of the Islamic State. Certainly the ambitions of Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan, it was almost impossible for the structures firmly governments who lead them, but the situation in countries that can not rely on well-established institutions or still in development, such as Libya and Afghanistan, indicate how the caliphate has the ability to alter regional balances already fragile. A further element of attraction to the caliphate, which won the competition on Al Qaeda, was to attract young Muslims, especially from European countries, which have never been integrated into systems of Western life, but they were able to learn the means of communication, to the detriment of the importance that the organization of Osama Bin Laden gave the Orthodox theological education, definitely missing element in the average level of education in religious matters of the adherents to the caliphate, as has been frequently noted. Not negligible even the attractiveness towards elements that not even come into direct contact with the organization of the Islamic state, but can act on impulse becoming unpredictable commando, as happened in France.