Hezbollah against the Sunni groups on the border with Lebanon, to defend the land of the cedars

The movement Hezbollah proclaims an offensive against the rebels of Al Nusra Front, the cell affiliated with Al Qaeda and against the militia of the Islamic state in the territories on the border with Syria. The strategy of these groups Sunni extremists is to keep in constant apprehension the country of Lebanon, with cross-border incursions. One of the main intentions is precisely to bring the war in Syria and in Iraq, where he expanded the sovereignty of the caliphate, in the territory of Lebanon, identified as a stronghold of the Shiite and support for the regime in Damascus. In fact, the official position of the country of Lebanon has been, so far, to stay out of the conflict, especially because of its heterogeneous social composition, made up of Shiites and Sunnis. In this regard, the civil war in Syria, the first sided with Assad, while the latter support the rebellion. However, the term rebellion Syrian state is a term that initially very vague, because it included movements of different nature, the secular forces up to the most fundamentalist Islamic ended increasingly to coincide with the most extreme Sunni sectarian forces, who taken over, thanks to funding of the Gulf monarchies and other Sunni states. In Lebanon, several times, in the past, had to suffer the negative influences of Syria, who has practiced more than an interference in the political life of the country, the Shiite movement Hezbollah which is training more organized, even militarily, thanks support Iranian fears a contagion of the civil war in Syria, which could lead right into the country the Sunni fundamentalism. This eventuality, from strategic point of view, could allow the caliphate and its allies to extend its dominance in an area crucial, not only to determine the fall of Assad, but also to reach the border with Israel and hated cause, Therefore, an increase in tension in the region, the developments strongly problematic. The stated intention of Hezbollah is to preserve the country from incursions Lebanese Sunni, also to protect the many religious groups, including several Christians in the area. If this purpose is sincere or not, it is not important here, but it is crucial to detect the value of this media plan. Hezbollah, as terrorist movement, intends to present itself as a champion of the rights, and minorities, in front of the horde Sunni. A further aspect of the intentions of Hezbollah to justify its intentions, is that the regular Lebanese army would not be able to defend the country from the assault of the fundamentalists of the caliphate. These statements caused the reaction of the Lebanese government, but doubts about the actual preparation of the Lebanese forces are real. The scenario that is looming, then, could change the attitude West to Hezbollah, as is substantially changed, although unofficially, what to Assad. The reason is that, at this time, every ally against the caliphate is welcome. At the present time the most urgent to be solved is the defeat of the Islamic state, which determines the transition into the background of the above reasons of contrast. But if this is the prevailing view of the White House, the variable Hezbollah can influence the international scene more than the operations it intends to act in defense of Lebanon. The natural alliance with Iran, coupled with actions against forces backed by Sunni monarchies of the Gulf, can only arouse conflicts between Washington and its Sunni allies, engaged, among other things, the issue of Yemen. The United States, while considering the priority issue of the caliphate, did not intend to commit themselves on the ground and consider welcome any ally officer, like the Kurds, or unofficial, such as Iran and Syria of Assad the same, that is, in this time favorite every case of conquest of the country by the Syrian Sunni formations, also moderated. It remains to see the position of Israel, the traditional enemy of Hezbollah, who has never looked favorably upon the fall of Assad, with whom he had established a relationship of coexistence; Tel Aviv is now in danger of being on the same side of those who have always pelted with missiles from Lebanon. The overall picture is therefore too complicated to ever new variables, which help to make more difficult a clear analysis and linear. The situation, in constant evolution, can not be solved in the medium term, because even though you will find the solution to the problem of the Islamic state, which is far from obvious, the other issues, which are now in the background, such as Syria and the delicate relationships of alliances, threatening to become just as complicated resolution.