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mercoledì 20 maggio 2015

Saudi Arabia could acquire nuclear weapons to balance the progress of Iran

The strong concerns, has often demonstrated, both on the diplomatic level, and the policy level, from Saudi Arabia, for the closer agreement, expected by June 30, which should establish the possibility for Iran to acquire a nuclear technology, could trigger a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. The intention of Riyadh would be to collect the debt that the country boasts Arabia with Pakistan as a result of large investments in the billions of dollars, made to finance the Pakistani nuclear program, the main Gulf monarchy would thus have a nuclear device already tested and ready in time almost immediate, surpassing Tehran in a possible nuclear arms race, which promises to be almost certain. If this development occurs, we will create preconditions totally contrary to the intentions of the US, which have concentrated all their efforts to prevent nuclear proliferation, to meet the needs of Iran, with the attempt to regulate their approach of atomic technology, trying to channel it towards the exclusive civil development. The deep aversion of the Gulf monarchies, the Sunni countries and also Israel, has developed a movement opposed to the new attitude that Washington has decided to hold with Iran, judging almost a betrayal of alliance relationships and causing considerable differences on how to bear against the Sunni terrorist nature. A decisive factor was certainly that of the progressive increase in the appearance confessional matrix Sunni, within the political institutions of various countries and especially in the countries of the Arab Spring. This has encouraged the radicalization of the confrontation entirely within Islam, between Sunnis and Shiites; is within this scenario that puts the fear of allowing, thanks to the Western world, a substantial advantage to Iran through the possession of nuclear technology, which can allow in future, although not too immediate, reaching possess a nuclear device. The Sunni world believes to be in front of a dangerous imbalance for their own existence, which seeks in part to bridge, with actions that aim to steal potions considerable influence of Iran, but always being well aware that this is limited to a context a strategic confrontation without the presence of non-conventional weapons, such as the atomic bomb. The US intention was to maintain this kind of balance, controlling, along with other international actors, the development of Iran, favoring at the same time, the re-entry into the international society, breaking the isolation that had been formed in part because of the issue Nuclear. The role that Washington had thought to herself was to create a new order in the Middle East to Iran to give due importance and recognizing, in fact, the role of regional power, maintaining, however, the preferential contacts with the Gulf monarchies . The initiative of Saudi Arabia now disrupts the structure designed, but not shared by the Sunnis, the US and might seriously damage a relationship, which seems already cracked. Hard not to imagine that Iran, now can not call into question the entire system of the negotiations, which should be completed by the end of June, feeling, in turn, discriminated by the possibility of finding the entry into Saudi Arabia in a hurry club of nuclear powers. But the intent of Riyadh, may be the one to create a disruptive to the meaning of the Treaty, capable of bringing before the region into chaos and, later, bring the nuclear issue once again to become global emergency. On the other hand, Saudi Arabia has not exactly distinguished itself by a capable management of those forces, which funded, and he thought to check for its strategic purposes and which are then transformed into an Islamic state; this to highlight how the moves of Riyadh is risky and dangerous. Not have the output of isolation of Iran, which is perceived not only as a religious and political opponents, but also economic, to create new conditions of regional coexistence is an error that Saudi Arabia is taking in too obvious, exacerbating friction to the country of Iran, especially at a time where the Shiite militias are considered essential in the fight against the caliphate, by the United States. Certainly Riyadh will enjoy the support of various countries, but in a broader overview, risks isolation in a pen made of Sunni nations, that will not help a perspective of leadership, also limited to the regional and burdened with an ever more down of relations with the United States.

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