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mercoledì 20 maggio 2015
Saudi Arabia could acquire nuclear weapons to balance the progress of Iran
The
strong concerns, has often demonstrated, both on the diplomatic level,
and the policy level, from Saudi Arabia, for the closer agreement,
expected by June 30, which should establish the possibility for Iran to
acquire a nuclear technology, could trigger a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. The
intention of Riyadh would be to collect the debt that the country
boasts Arabia with Pakistan as a result of large investments in the
billions of dollars, made to finance the Pakistani nuclear program, the
main Gulf monarchy would thus have a
nuclear device already tested and ready in time almost immediate,
surpassing Tehran in a possible nuclear arms race, which promises to be
almost certain. If
this development occurs, we will create preconditions totally contrary
to the intentions of the US, which have concentrated all their efforts
to prevent nuclear proliferation, to meet the needs of Iran, with the
attempt to regulate their approach of atomic technology, trying to
channel it towards the exclusive civil development. The
deep aversion of the Gulf monarchies, the Sunni countries and also
Israel, has developed a movement opposed to the new attitude that
Washington has decided to hold with Iran, judging almost a betrayal of
alliance relationships and causing considerable differences on how to bear against the Sunni terrorist nature. A
decisive factor was certainly that of the progressive increase in the
appearance confessional matrix Sunni, within the political institutions
of various countries and especially in the countries of the Arab Spring.
This has encouraged the radicalization of the confrontation entirely within Islam, between Sunnis and Shiites; is
within this scenario that puts the fear of allowing, thanks to the
Western world, a substantial advantage to Iran through the possession of
nuclear technology, which can allow in future, although not too
immediate, reaching possess a nuclear device. The
Sunni world believes to be in front of a dangerous imbalance for their
own existence, which seeks in part to bridge, with actions that aim to
steal potions considerable influence of Iran, but always being well
aware that this is limited to a context a strategic confrontation without the presence of non-conventional weapons, such as the atomic bomb. The
US intention was to maintain this kind of balance, controlling, along
with other international actors, the development of Iran, favoring at
the same time, the re-entry into the international society, breaking the
isolation that had been formed in part because of the issue Nuclear. The
role that Washington had thought to herself was to create a new order
in the Middle East to Iran to give due importance and recognizing, in
fact, the role of regional power, maintaining, however, the preferential
contacts with the Gulf monarchies . The
initiative of Saudi Arabia now disrupts the structure designed, but not
shared by the Sunnis, the US and might seriously damage a relationship,
which seems already cracked. Hard
not to imagine that Iran, now can not call into question the entire
system of the negotiations, which should be completed by the end of
June, feeling, in turn, discriminated by the possibility of finding the
entry into Saudi Arabia in a hurry club of nuclear powers. But
the intent of Riyadh, may be the one to create a disruptive to the
meaning of the Treaty, capable of bringing before the region into chaos
and, later, bring the nuclear issue once again to become global
emergency. On
the other hand, Saudi Arabia has not exactly distinguished itself by a
capable management of those forces, which funded, and he thought to
check for its strategic purposes and which are then transformed into an
Islamic state; this to highlight how the moves of Riyadh is risky and dangerous. Not
have the output of isolation of Iran, which is perceived not only as a
religious and political opponents, but also economic, to create new
conditions of regional coexistence is an error that Saudi Arabia is
taking in too obvious, exacerbating friction to
the country of Iran, especially at a time where the Shiite militias are
considered essential in the fight against the caliphate, by the United
States. Certainly
Riyadh will enjoy the support of various countries, but in a broader
overview, risks isolation in a pen made of Sunni nations, that will not
help a perspective of leadership, also limited to the regional and
burdened with an ever more down of relations with the United States.
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