Politica Internazionale

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martedì 19 maggio 2015

The Libyan government will not accept any violation of sovereignty to fight illegal immigration

The Libyan government rejects the European Union to carry out military operations on its territory and within its territorial sea, against the criminal gangs that organize the traffic of human beings. So it can not occur any violation of Libyan sovereignty, but the statement of the spokesman for the government recognized by the international community, can open up new possibilities for Brussels. It is, in fact, confirmed the willingness to cooperate with the European Union in the fight against smuggling. These are statements of principle, which does not clarify what the real intentions of the government of Tobruk, but that, for now, are sufficient to thwart the European initiative. Probably the Libyan government elected, but fled to Tobruk, with this move aims to achieve two aims: the first is the domestic front and wants to gain credibility in front of the confessional government took office in Tripoli. While in the second case it would be a significant help in terms of support not just military but also diplomatic, to assert its sovereignty over the land. This aspect is also closely linked to Europe's needs as the government controls only a few regions of Tobruk in Libya and the ports of departure of the ships of immigrants are located in areas controlled by the government of Tripoli. For Europe, however, it is a sort of trap with which is very risky to confront. The ideal would be for the government to Tobruk military aid, that can defeat opponents in Tripoli. This scenario would lead to a military employment relevant to Brussels, with the vessels, aircraft and land and, in the event of success, would have its advantages. A Libya almost normalized, would ensure greater control of the issue of immigration, would ensure stability of energy supply and eliminate the danger of the many terrorist bases of Islamic militants on its territory. But this is not mean feat, investment would be enormous and the risks for European soldiers involved, very considerable. Sure they have more hits than the program to sink any boat and finally Europe could take on an appearance of great power, making sure the alliance of the Libyan country. Conversely the prohibition of violation of the sovereignty of a government, albeit already halved in the exercise of control of the country, does not guarantee the already difficult approval of United Nations Security Council and the third phase of European military, is already virtually canceled. Certainly the European Union, may decide to go ahead anyway, without the umbrella of the UN and trying to convince the government of Tobruk of mutual convenience. But at that point would the government in Tripoli to oppose the operations against traffickers, which probably can not be excluded ties. The path taken by Brussels appears no apparent way out, unless you intend to espouse the cause of the government to take radical action and Tobruk, on which appears objectively difficult to reconcile the Union's members. Meanwhile the migration situation continues to worsen, and the fact that the plan was developed without consulting the Libyan government, reveals worrying signs of amateurism.

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