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mercoledì 27 maggio 2015

The unknowns of the output of England and Greece on the European Union

The structure of the European Union runs two major risks to its structure: the exit of Britain and that of Greece. London has, within it, many Eurosceptics and the situation is aggravated by the awakening independence of Scotland, by no means averted by the recent outcome of the referendum. Greece does not have an essentially political problem, or rather, it only because it follows economic conditions and the resolution of its debt situation. These are two very different situations, which can, however, create important precedents and that can lead to extreme consequences of the dissolution of the European project. They are not, to forget the many movements that, in other states are pushing for greater independence from Brussels. These pressures have been until now the only ones who have tried to influence the European Union, often starting from reasons also shared, but were included because they were movements or political parties, also with a following election, but that, They did not have a political supremacy in their countries. The cases of Great Britain and Greece, in contrast, represent emergency state and then forming part of the decision-making process institutional of Brussels. Attempting to London is well known: to try to force the European Union to a number of conditions favorable only to the English, with the threat output. Cameron, it is true, has to deal with those who want to get out of Europe, but also with those who want to stay there and in this area there is the whole financial world, which is the real economic engine of the country, which would only be lost if not could no longer enjoy the free movement of capital. But the UK still want more freedom and to start claiming the revision of the treaties of accession to Europe. It is a real attack on the legal foundations on which Europe, a proposal considered inadmissible by Germany and France; Cameron has taken, however, the problem is clear: issues of less bureaucracy and discussion for the expansion of markets in the US and Asia, which are sensitive issues for especially for Berlin. Less acceptable are attempts to curtail freedom of movement within the European Union, with the primary intention of avoiding as much as possible the entry of migrants on English soil. The path to a possible exit of London from Europe is still not short, if the referendum will take place by 2017 as planned, Paris and Berlin, together with Brussels will not be unprepared, in fact, the heads of state of the two countries, Merkel and Hollande and President Juncker, have already prepared a series of meetings to counter a program of joint action against the British strategy. But in 2017 there is an unknown important to keep in mind: the French elections. If the odds remain the same could go to the government's anti-European National Front, and at that point, the British critics of Europe would find a potential ally; This factor requires Europe to try to settle definitively the question with the British so early. To do this the practice of the Executive Board, ie a run of European unconventional institutional fact, that France and Germany are leading with the help of the Brussels institutions, does not seem the best choice. The lack of involvement of the countries most convinced Europeans united by not following the rules, confirms once more the feeling of a Europe made up not of members with equal rights, but a supranational entity where power is unbalanced in a clear manner, that, coincidentally is criticism increasingly being leveled at the management of Brussels. Doing it this way it continues to give rise to disputes without trying to gain the consensus needed to form a political union. Even if you can not recognize that this method of managing power, left in the hands of members of the most important is just a consequence of the lack of will to implement autonomous political institutions, released by the executive government and with their own ability to govern. We are, therefore, in front of a dead end road that you want and that the only intention to provide financial and economic stability to the states, is not enough without a real involvement total. These same obstacles, albeit in different form, forcing the path of Greece to an exhausting search for a solution, in name only observance of economic constraints, which still exceed a broader political vision, which is necessary to preserve the continental unity.

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