Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 16 luglio 2015
The Iranian conservatives opposed to the agreement on nuclear power
How
Obama will have to struggle with the Republican majority in Congress,
to accept the signing of the US negotiations with Iran, including the
Iranian government it will have its difficulties with the Conservatives
in the country. For
now, the attitude of this political party was to not comment on the
deal, but this silence seems eloquent for many analysts. The
practice to ratify the agreement is the responsibility formally to
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, but remember that the
Conservatives hold the majority in parliament, a situation similar to
that of the US, and may, therefore, slow down the path. It
is assumed that the silence of the Conservatives will last until the
end of Ramadan, in full consistency with the approach of the religious
political party more conservative. Need
to specify that opponents Iranian agreement relied on the failure of
negotiations and disappointment in this part policy appears very strong.
The
end of negotiations is seen as a violation of the sovereignty of the
Iranian nation to the terms of the agreement too large, which would
grant too much to US demands, particularly on the part of the
inspections. In
Iran the feeling against the United States is still very strong and had
grown with their own sanctions that have crippled the country's
economy. The
US is still seen as the main enemy of a large part of Iranian society,
especially the clergy and the military, who feel harmed by the
agreement. These
positions, however, are opposed to those of the greater part of the
country, which while not feeding sympathy for the United States, are
characterized by a greater pragmatism, especially in relation to the
need of the cancellation of the sanctions, considered essential to
improve the economic situation of the people Iranian. In
Iran there is a natural ferment, too long repressed, calling for a
country's economic growth in a uniform, accessible only with the
increase of labor. The
fear of the conservatives is that the changed economic condition may
reopen a season where the demand rights back strongly to reappearance in
society of the country. To
this criticism Agreement begin to become visible in the analysis of the
conservatives, who say they fear a reading of the writing of the text
arrived to the signature, not identical between the Obama and to Rohani,
this could encompass any non-unique application of Treaty because vitiated by different interpretations. It
seems clear that this is a strategy to discredit the agreement reached,
but the request of several parliamentarians of a classroom discussion
with the clarification of the foreign minister, may seem a kind of issue
in the institutional, which could be carried out with the intent to find weak points in the treaty to try to reject it. Conversely,
if the government manages to come out unscathed from this kind of trap,
it will be a positive element for the reformists, who will try to
emphasize that through a considerable diplomatic effort, Iran is, in
fact, released from isolation and international He could cancel the sanctions to revitalize its economy. Not
being in a democratic framework, but in a system influenced by a
religion too pervasive and too tied to tradition, the process of
loosening the constraints that limit excessively civil rights is still
far from being affected in a decisive way, but if reformers
fail to do ratify the nuclear deal, will pull off a major victory for
the path of the country in a direction that allows more freedom for the
Iranian society.
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