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giovedì 16 luglio 2015

The Iranian conservatives opposed to the agreement on nuclear power

How Obama will have to struggle with the Republican majority in Congress, to accept the signing of the US negotiations with Iran, including the Iranian government it will have its difficulties with the Conservatives in the country. For now, the attitude of this political party was to not comment on the deal, but this silence seems eloquent for many analysts. The practice to ratify the agreement is the responsibility formally to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, but remember that the Conservatives hold the majority in parliament, a situation similar to that of the US, and may, therefore, slow down the path. It is assumed that the silence of the Conservatives will last until the end of Ramadan, in full consistency with the approach of the religious political party more conservative. Need to specify that opponents Iranian agreement relied on the failure of negotiations and disappointment in this part policy appears very strong. The end of negotiations is seen as a violation of the sovereignty of the Iranian nation to the terms of the agreement too large, which would grant too much to US demands, particularly on the part of the inspections. In Iran the feeling against the United States is still very strong and had grown with their own sanctions that have crippled the country's economy. The US is still seen as the main enemy of a large part of Iranian society, especially the clergy and the military, who feel harmed by the agreement. These positions, however, are opposed to those of the greater part of the country, which while not feeding sympathy for the United States, are characterized by a greater pragmatism, especially in relation to the need of the cancellation of the sanctions, considered essential to improve the economic situation of the people Iranian. In Iran there is a natural ferment, too long repressed, calling for a country's economic growth in a uniform, accessible only with the increase of labor. The fear of the conservatives is that the changed economic condition may reopen a season where the demand rights back strongly to reappearance in society of the country. To this criticism Agreement begin to become visible in the analysis of the conservatives, who say they fear a reading of the writing of the text arrived to the signature, not identical between the Obama and to Rohani, this could encompass any non-unique application of Treaty because vitiated by different interpretations. It seems clear that this is a strategy to discredit the agreement reached, but the request of several parliamentarians of a classroom discussion with the clarification of the foreign minister, may seem a kind of issue in the institutional, which could be carried out with the intent to find weak points in the treaty to try to reject it. Conversely, if the government manages to come out unscathed from this kind of trap, it will be a positive element for the reformists, who will try to emphasize that through a considerable diplomatic effort, Iran is, in fact, released from isolation and international He could cancel the sanctions to revitalize its economy. Not being in a democratic framework, but in a system influenced by a religion too pervasive and too tied to tradition, the process of loosening the constraints that limit excessively civil rights is still far from being affected in a decisive way, but if reformers fail to do ratify the nuclear deal, will pull off a major victory for the path of the country in a direction that allows more freedom for the Iranian society.

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