Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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martedì 25 agosto 2015
The two Koreas reached an agreement after the military tension in recent days
It
relieves tension between the two Koreas, which have reached an
agreement that seems to be able to cool a highly dangerous situation,
which began in the first days of August, due to the injury of two South
Korean soldiers, to the explosion of a device, which according to Seoul had been placed by Pyongyang. The
response of South Korea had been to provide the psychological warfare
through propaganda carried out with the speakers placed along the
boundary line. This
fact, always a source of great irritation for Pyongyang, had provoked a
military response, culminating with artillery shells fired from the
North to the South, to which Seoul had responded. The
risk of a military escalation of the confrontation became more concrete
when the forces of North Korea had mobilized twice as many troops
usually employed along the border and had put in action 50 nuclear
submarines. Such
a conflict would involve external actors, first and foremost the United
States, traditional allies of Seoul, with which South Korea holds
military exercises regularly, and would jeopardize the balance in the
region, including through a possible stop in traffic maritime. Pyongyang,
this time, has not threatened the use of atomic weapons, but the danger
is ever present when North Korea comes on alert. The
situation has been anxiously followed by the whole world and especially
also from China, which, at this stage of its troubled finances, would
not like the start of a military confrontation that would involve a
neighboring country and with which the 'only
nation to maintain a formal relationship, often referred alliance, even
if the conduct of relations between the two states does not seem to be
characterized by classical parameters of privileged relationship in
diplomatic sense. North
Korea arrived he declared, in the most hectic phases of the crisis, the
state of war seeds, using a neologism to define the situation to
mobilize the country, very close to the condition of total war effort. This
declaration of Pyongyang, according to many analysts was tantamount to a
step immediately prior to the formal declaration of war, even if for
other observers, was, however, a threat to scare Seoul. This
second hypothesis, on the other hand, falls within the usual course of
action of Kim Jong-Un, although any underestimation of a dictator who
possesses the atomic bomb remains, however, not recommended. The
conflict, however, it would not be convenient for either party, and
after about forty-three hours of meetings, were able to arrive at a
definition of the situation peaceful. One
of the major achievements, is the desire to hold regular meetings to
improve bilateral relations and to further negotiations of cooperation
in various fields, including economic and seek a solution to reunite
divided families in the two states. To
get to this solution North Korea apologized and expressed regret for
the wounding of the two South Korean soldiers, while Seoul has broken
psychological warfare. The
crisis, in short, seems to move towards a positive solution, developing
new possibilities for dialogue, which, however, should not delude
ourselves too much about a possible change of direction of the
dictatorship in Pyongyang.
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