Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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giovedì 8 ottobre 2015
The President of Brazil threatens prosecution
Brazil
could move towards an institutional crisis, after the Court of Auditors
has invited the Brazilian parliamentarians to vote against the public
accounts of 2014, following the decision of the Electoral Tribunal to
reopen an investigation into the presidential campaign of that year,
held flawed by the opposition because of illegal public funding, involving the oil company public. In
that election he was re-elected the current president of the country
Dilma Rousseff, that would be so uncomfortable in the role of defendant,
a factor which, even if only potential, contribute to aggravate the
already low approval ratings in the polls. Almost
to prevent this situation, the Brazilian president had, in recent days
provided for the formation of a new government, giving more power to the
allies of the centrist Brazilian Democratic Movement Party, who have
distinguished themselves several times not to be aligned to the
positions of Rousseff, which, therefore, he has made a move of desperation to prevent the fall of the government for political reasons. On
the other hand in the left of the country arouses particular aversion
program cuts, which Rousseff, would like to make, but has recently
suffered a crushing defeat not approved some measures for the lack of
voter participation of many members belonging to the majority . Despite
that, according to some analysts the results of the procedures that
could incriminate the president, have a high likelihood of effects, the
influence of these charges on the political stability of the country
have obvious implications, at a time of great economic difficulty for
Brazil , which is involved in a severe economic downturn, after years of consistent growth. From
the institutional point of view, the effects of the investigation, may
result in the forfeiture of Rousseff, that would cause a new round of
elections, where hardly the Workers Party, that of the president, could
get another victory. Could
thus, stop the political trajectory of the Brazilian left, probably too
far from the starting values, because profoundly changed in its mode of
action and its policies. Certainly
one of the causes of the decline of the practices left was the
rejection, albeit non-binding, the public accounts for 2014, an election
year, that has not happened since 1936, due to the likely willingness
to make less burdensome the size of the deficit public, a factor that could be used by the opposition during the election campaign. If
this were true violation of direct concern to the law in force on the
matter of fiscal responsibility and the Constitution of Brazil; as a result of what could constitute a violation of the responsibilities of the president and then its decline. But
beyond these technical details, although very important, the crisis of
the Brazilian left reflects that of the majority of progressive
movements, who once climbed, in power, in fact deny their values and
their history, through involvement in scandals, who
betray the correctness and legality of which should be carrying heavy
and implementing measures that affect different social groups, from the
weakest to the middle class, preserving large concentrations of power. In
Brazil, a country rich in resources, this happened with the involvement
of state industries, which manage the wealth of the country and that
they had become the instrument of redistribution of national wealth. If
Rousseff will manage to escape the legal pitfalls, caused by the
behavior of his own party, not necessarily able to finish the
legislature: the government will be weakened by the affair and should be
based on compromise less and less relevant to the people's will to
survive.
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