The Russian provocation to Turkey

That it was an error or voluntary action, the overrunning of the plane belonging to the Russian military forces is a dangerous precedent. The justification is that the invasion of Moscow airspace turkish was due to a technical requirement due to the weather, but the failure to communicate authority authorizes Ankara believe that the crossing of heaven Turks was intended. Russia has grown accustomed to provocative behavior, which must be perceived as real evidence of force, which led to extreme situations become potentially dangerous; has happened several times during the fighting in Ukraine, when Russian aircraft have repeatedly invaded the airspace of the Baltic countries and the same behavior of the occupation of the Crimea and eastern Ukraine has revealed a deep contempt for the Kremlin to respect international law. Moreover, the position of Turkey against Syria is well known: Ankara is deeply opposed to the Assad regime and maneuvered, unofficially, to promote the rise of Sunni groups, some of which have then created the Islamic state. The turkish country is deeply opposed to the solution of which Russia is making a carrier, which aims to keep the Assad government. Moscow could have identified Turkey as a weak link against Damascus, because the country turkish there is the Kurdish problem, far from being solved. Ankara will result means altering the already fragile balance within the Atlantic Alliance. Turkey, in fact, is not a country that can accept a provocation like that without an appropriate response, especially from their allies. The United States, in fact, are now deployed alongside Asian ally, even though at this moment the relations are tense because of the treatment that the Turkish air force is reserving the positions of Kurdish fighters. In Turkey the possibility of the emergence of a Kurdish state on their borders is considered a greater danger even than the Islamic state. However the American attitude must be characterized by caution and the Russian raid seems to want to prove to what extent it can lead the endurance American, especially if encouraged by the desire for a strong Turkey. Essentially Moscow would cause, not only in Ankara, but across the Atlantic Alliance, to see how far you can push in the bombings against secular groups who are opposed to Assad and that the United States still believe the best policy alternative to Assad. This hypothesis could be proven by the fact that there would still be an official explanation and directed by Moscow invasion, voluntary or not, of the airspace turkish. The top leadership of the Atlantic Alliance are summoned by meeting the highest collegial body of the organization, the North Atlantic Council, the one with the greater decision-making power. The intention of the Atlantic seems to be to equalize the turkish territory, and therefore its airspace, to the territory of NATO, both for this case, that, possibly for similar eventualities, so that you have a legal justification to threaten a response to any other violation. In the Treaty of the Atlantic there is a clause that justifies the mobilization of all members in defense of a member that is attacked. Certainly this possibility is considered remote, but the mere fact of evoking it puts Russia facing the possibility of being the object of an appropriate response by the Atlantic Alliance, in the case of any repetition of what happened. The situation is much more serious when departments Russians invaded the Crimea and the eastern part of the country of Ukraine, because in that case there was no obligation to do intervention, they mutuality of other countries in support of the nation object of Russian . The scenario is then by the Cold War and looks much more dangerous than the Ukrainian events, because in this case the two main parties involved are immediately neighbors, including the presence of the troops of the respective countries a few kilometers away: an accident or provocation in this theater could really cause disastrous consequences.