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mercoledì 28 ottobre 2015

US and Iran closer to a resumption of international relations, in addition to the Treaty on Nuclear

The imminent start of the summit on the war in Syria will present a major innovation at the diplomatic level. Iran's presence at the negotiating table shows Tehran at the center of a dispute important after so many years of isolation, interrupted only by negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue. If on the ground fighting the presence of Tehran was now certified by the cooperation with the Kurds, Iraqis and, in recent times with the Russians, it had been always an unofficial commitment, carried forward with tenacity to defend the positions of the country in Syria and also their religious part, the Shiites. So, for the first time they sit at the same table representatives of Washington and Tehran, which, although already come into contact, must iron out deep differences still present in their relationships. The quota concerning the will of Iran, which coincides with that of Russia, to keep Assad in power, a factor that the US would remove Syria from the future. Around this problem announce the greatest difficulties for the presence at the table of Sunni countries like Egypt and Turkey. For Moscow the Iranian presence is crucial as the two powers come from a period of relative isolation and this opportunity allows him to break a diplomatic encirclement, that prevented, even if not entirely, a real punch in the pursuit of its projects internationally. A statement, in part, that can be obtained only with the official recognition of Assad in the negotiations that will design the future of Syria, could represent a significant victory for Iran and Russia, can revive their diplomatic activities on a larger scale. To achieve this the two countries are working on both the diplomatic, where the game is objectively more difficult, both on the military, used as a tool to facilitate the work of international relations. The actions of Russia are building a solid protection to Assad, hitting both formations of the Islamic state, the rebels Democrats supported by the US, while Iran, in agreement with the Iraqi Shiite government and often alongside Kurdish fighters of ' Iraq, is fighting the Sunni fundamentalists on the ground in Baghdad. The direct involvement on the ground brings a considerable advantage compared to the American tactic that, through air strikes, got only partial success. At the crucial moment of the negotiations the direct effects of the commitment will surely weigh on the decisions of the summit. But, in addition to the contingent facts, concerning the structure of Syria and the region of the Middle East, it is important to emphasize, as the participation of Iran to a summit so important, it plays a significance that goes beyond the appointment. The central point is the resumption of relations between the US and Iran and all that this aspect may invest both on the diplomatic scene and on the inside of the respective states. It is no secret that many environments, also quite influential in both countries are rather reluctant to resume a conversation stopped abruptly several years ago, so as to become the two were the greatest enemies, establishing a distance abysmal. In the same environments American politicians, who favored the nuclear talks, it still harbors great suspicion about the true intentions of Tehran in the international arena, despite the two countries have also worked unofficially and often at a distance, against the common enemy of fundamentalism Sunni. In Iran, there are feelings equally adverse to the US, still often defined, even in official speeches, the Great Satan. Despite the agreement on the nuclear issue remain so elements of profound distance between the two countries, which do not help in achieving the goal of regional stability. Ambitions to play a role of media power from Iran, so far opposed by Washington, must be reconsidered from the search for the solution of the Syrian crisis, to invest a broader spectrum of issues that keep the region in a constant danger . The deep religious difference, which has exacerbated tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia, to which was added the Turkey, looking for a size of greater influence on the Arab countries and the presence of the Palestinian issue, forcing the US to try to break new streets. The American position is currently the most complicated, because the United States are subject to a stress from many quarters, which prevents a unique behavior and agrees to exercise very complicated diplomatic balancing act, in this scenario, the arrival of the Russian presence, somewhat cumbersome, It turns out to be an aggravating aspect for the US business. Washington can not, however, curb the Iranian diplomatic ambitions, but has, in fact, assist them, to the extent that this is possible, to involve an actor of considerable political weight, functional to the maintenance of regional balance. Certainly Washington must also make efforts to limit to not allow a too invasive action of Tehran, especially towards the historical allies of the United States; in any case it is better to open a direct dialogue, which continue with underground maneuvers, which, at the present time could lead to very negative consequences.

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