Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 11 novembre 2015
Portugal: the left-wing government, the signal for the European Union
The union formations left the Portuguese led to the demise of the executive right, who ruled in a minority situation. The
left parties in Portugal are able to join for the first time since, in
the country, democracy is in force, that is, for about 40 years; the
fact seems very important from the political point of view and can be
considered an example for the formation of other similar coalitions in
other EU countries. This
situation is experienced, however, with increasing apprehension by the
financial markets because of the fear that is to form a situation like
the one in Greece. In fact this hypothesis appears less likely, because the country Portuguese has more control of their accounts; rather
there may be the implementation of a policy less tied to the rigidity
imposed by Brussels, marked by the expansion of investment. The
situation of the Portuguese economy is very contracted, the budget
constraints imposed on a difficult fiscal position, has stifled private
initiative and resulted in a large increase in emigration, especially by
youth. It
seems clear that one of the points of the left side of the country will
be to try to reverse the trend, also through the revitalization of
public investments. The
political landscape in which they were the fall of the government is
still characterized by an instability that creates uncertainty: the
executive right took office just seven days earlier and has been dropped
by the rejection of its program by only 123 votes against against 107 favorable. The
result of the lack of confidence makes the outgoing government the
shortest of Portuguese history, despite the right-wing party was the
first result in recent votes on 4 October. The
political inner most significant was the decision of the Socialist
Party, which has decided to join the forces of the left to try to
inaugurate a new era for the country. Central
to this decision is the belief of reducing austerity while remaining
conviction within the area of the single European currency. The
rest could not be otherwise, given the support that will support the
new government, thanks to agreements signed with the Left Bloc,
Communist Party and Greens. Actually,
the fact that the agreements, which signed the Socialist Party with the
other political forces, are separated, appears as a weakness of the
fledgling government and puts the country at risk of new elections. This
factor and the bargaining power that will have the formations of the
left, the Socialist Party, which has a more moderate and conciliatory
with Europe, may be a limiting factor for potential investors, who are
essential to revive the country's economy and implement a more expansive. From
here to return to a difficult situation for the national budgets and
see, well, the return of the control exercised in the past by the
political institutions and the European credit, the distance seems
really short. If
this happens, it would open a new front of commercial litigation, in
which Brussels would willingly give, because, would mean, too, that
would increase the controversy for interference in the sovereignty of
the states by the supranational institutions, with the consequences of
the rise of liking the euro skeptics. On
the other hand the situation in Portugal appears as yet another signal
of distress suffered as a result of a too strict application of
budgetary constraints, a feeling increasingly common in European
countries, that does not seem to be given due consideration, especially
with a view to political development of the European Union. Without
the perception of a common institution to facilitate the lives of
citizens, instead favoring the banking and financial groups, hoping to
meet the need liking towards greater political union, capable of
countering the groups opposed it remains only a vain hope.
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