Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 5 novembre 2015
The Atlantic Alliance provides greater commitment to protect its allies in the Mediterranean
The
Atlantic Alliance is prepared to consider new war scenarios, even
unconventional, which could invest the allied countries of southern
Europe: Italy, Spain and Portugal. The
discriminant is given the geographical proximity areas of great
instability present in North Africa, on the southern shore of the
Mediterranean and their immediate hinterland. In
these areas there are wide areas escaped to a control of their
sovereign states, and for a lack of opportunity to exercise their
sovereignty, even in the military sense, and the absence of state
structures which ensure the control, as is the case Libya, split into two opposing governments and where there is a large area that escapes the jurisdiction of both the executive. This
situation has led to the creation of independent militias, often
ingrained a deep affiliation Islamic religious extremism, as to be often
more structured as organizations affiliated to Al Qaeda and the Islamic
state. The
activities of these paramilitary forces evolved from trafficking in
persons, arms, drugs and oil, through which they finance up to attacks
and military actions against full-blown government institutions or
facilities of national interest, such as the sensational killings Tunisia against the Bardo Museum and the tourist village. In
addition to these cases, which have international significance, there
were intensified and increasingly violent actions against civilian
structures, which are intended to create a climate of terror in the
population. Only
Egypt, with the exception of Sinai, can be said to be the shelter of
these actions, but only because it was established a military
dictatorship, which is violently suppressing any dissent, even peaceful.
The
fear of the command of NATO is that, sooner or later, this Islamic
terrorism in North Africa, try the leap exporting to European countries
immediately contiguous terrorist attacks. With
respect to Ukraine, another face of tremendous burden for the Atlantic
Alliance, the risk of a conflict appear less likely, but the situation
is marked by greater unpredictability. In
fact, while in Eastern Europe the military confrontation would be
against a clearly defined enemy, the Mediterranean, the situation is
more fluid and less delineated, therefore, more subtle. The
deployment to the Atlantic Alliance intends to bring in the
Mediterranean is a solution mixed with conventional weapons and the use
of electronic surveillance, implemented through the use of drones, to
protect against emergencies traditional military or asymmetric warfare. Especially
the monitoring will be the primary degree of prevention from attack by a
force able to mobilize over a span of time content its military. The
significance of this initiative is not only to prepare an adequate
military response quickly, but to be able to test test the defense
system and to send a message to potential adversaries, whether the
Islamic state or Russia, for As for the East European. This
commitment of the Alliance appears to increase the preventive role of
the organization, increasingly called into question by the fear of its
members to become the object of attacks aimed at destabilizing the
system. What
is looming is a global scenario, which partly follows, albeit in a more
advanced location, the confrontation with the Soviet Union, and in part
presents strong elements of novelty, as the commitment in the
Mediterranean, which could become a
global theater of conflict, for if the effects of the war in Syria were
to extend even the most European of the basin could risk a dangerous
involvement. The
will of Washington seems to be to avoid being caught unprepared in the
face of an event held remote and probably not possible, but, nonetheless
potentially verifiable, especially in the mode of asymmetric conflict. To
consider, then, sufficiently addresses the destabilizing effects of
migration, which have very serious political consequences, capable of
heavy highlight contrasts between EU members, a factor that scares
considerably the White House determined to preserve the ' European Union as a whole. The
controls on the Mediterranean were also designed according to the fight
against illegal immigration, with the dual purpose of combating human
trafficking and reduce the reasons for friction in Brussels.
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