The possible effects of the alliance between France and Russia on Western alliances

France, a victim of the attacks, he has worked with in a hurry, a military strategy that sees joined to Russia, in order to put an Islamic state in a situation of great difficulty. Paris is proceeding with Moscow in a relationship dictated by the present situation, but that is totally outside the covenants established in the country French: the European Union and the Atlantic Alliance. The decision of France, appears dictated by the emotion of the moment and from a perspective of a very short period, which could lead to confusion in future relations with Russia. The West, in fact, is still formally in problematic relations with the Kremlin for the issue of Ukrainian and Crimean problems that have resulted in sanctions still in force against Moscow; the Elysee Palace, then, is the equivocal position to cooperate, albeit on a different terrain, with a state against which he waged a diplomatic and economic retaliation. Hollande, driven by the need to give a signal to the audience inside, which may represent, at the same time, a punishment and an affirmation of the importance of France in the international context, did not hesitate to ally, probably without the approval of Washington, with a state which until then he was considered an opponent. While it is true that the primary need, right now, is to eradicate the caliphate, will not come a time in which Russia will present the bill, probably in the form of the request of the interruption of the sanctions and the subsequent admission its own zone of influence, roughly coincident with the borders of the former Soviet Union. For Putin the opportunity was too great: in one fell swoop can continue the bombings in Syria, also on behalf of Assad, more to the side of a European power and, at the same time, can prepare the bill to be presented to the diplomatic ' European Union by France. The first possible result is to provide a split of the European Union, where the eastern countries can not possibly accept this approach to Moscow, the fracture, then, will also be reflected within the Atlantic Alliance, as you well understand the attitude deep caution that the US reserves the relationship between France and Russia. While remaining in Europe, reversing the attitude of Brussels to take against a country that has broken in a manner so blatant international law, it is likely to give a strongly negative value to the credibility of Europe as a supranational institution and therefore ambitions of greater unity among member countries. This is also a functional aspect to the needs of Putin, who was a continental counterpart increasingly fragmented, divided and with much less authority in opposition to Russian ambitions. The whole attitude is fostered by yet characterized procrastination, that the United States has never abandoned, becoming so leapfrog from activism in Moscow in the management of the Syrian crisis, the real crux of the Middle East, has become crucial for the world balance . The poor attitude of Obama's foreign policy, to understand the implications and s, giving even unpopular decisions, has caused a decrease in the importance of the United States, which resulted in the power vacuums, topped up by other international actors. The current phase is therefore of great uncertainty and profound change, not to lose further ground Washington must take very strong positions, even against historical allies like France, including support of military action, can make you feel the harmony Conversely he'll run into errors diplomats who will be difficult to repair.