Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 4 dicembre 2015
The European Central Bank lowers rates to accelerate economic recovery
The European Central Bank injects more money into the continental system, in an attempt to boost the economy. The
low inflation rate in the euro area still present justifies the fear of
the comeback of deflation and the further reduction of the economy that
would result in logical contraction of production: in a word, the
feared stagnation. This despite the low price of energy materials that should facilitate a recovery in production and therefore consumption. Precisely
on the issue of consumption that recorded values are the low domestic
consumption, which does not allow the production values to take off. This
condition is common to virtually all countries of the euro, with the
exception of Germany supported by exports, especially of machinery. Actually exports are not bad in the other countries, but not enough to compensate for the low values of the marked internal. However,
on this front, there is the risk of experiencing significant
contractions due to the negative trend of China, sure this will be
offset by the good performance of US growth. According
to the technicians of the European Central Bank should continue on the
line of the depreciation of the euro, which has almost reached parity
with the dollar, to boost the competitiveness of European products. This
sort of devaluation can be encouraged by the introduction of money into
the economy through the increase in purchases of securities issued by
sovereign states only ninth, but also by local authorities of the
countries of the euro: a purchase in large amounts of debt quantified
in the order of around 60 billion euro per month, up to a total amount
of 1.500 billion Euros, compared to 1,160 planned. This
should facilitate the lowering of interest rates charged to mutual
public and free up resources for the private banks, facilitating
investment in other sectors, which are not public ones. To
support this move will be a rise in the interest of deposits that
commercial banks maintain in the coffers of the European Central Bank; This
measure is designed to stimulate more lending to businesses and
households, while maintaining the reference rate at the lowest possible
value, 0.05%, leaving the cost of credit to a level still low. These
steps come late anyway at least five years, after which for blocking
the economy of the euro zone due to German obstinacy a penalty
convenient only in Berlin. Conversely
similar measures taken in due time by the central banks, like the
British and the US, have enabled substantial economic recoveries. The
German attitude, but always suspicious maneuvers of this kind, for fear
that the countries of southern Europe have the pretext to postpone
economic reforms, could be changed by the knowledge that in the near
future exports of Germany will no longer be on current levels and therefore also the country's credit German who needs to be stimulated.
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