The first results of the US presidential

The results in Iowa show a clear parallel to what is happening in the two US parties. In both political parties, in fact, the favorite candidates were put in difficulty and the odds, derived from surveys, they have been subverted. Even the United States occurs, then, the phenomenon of poor reliability of the data provided by research institutes, which have become indicators of poor quality. As for the Republican political fact the objective fact is that the political agenda set by Trump, characterized by excessive tone was not liked by the electorate Republican, if not on a minority, certainly beyond the traditional voters. The winner, Ruiz, in fact, although not itself a classic expression of the Conservative Party, was able to exploit the religious setting of his electoral program, in opposition to the Obama presidency, gaining support especially in evangelical circles, who provided crucial support for the victory. For Trump are missing voters less certain, those who do not always participate in the vote and from which he expected the boost needed for the victory of the billionaire. Of course we are only at the early stages and this may change when they are challenged other countries, especially those where the Tea Party gathers more support, but the indication of Iowa is the sign of a trend that should not be underestimated. The fear of an electorate Republican easy prey to excessive ideas and little moderate eased out, but at the same time it states a success of a more marked on the religious aspect as a central subject of the political program, worrying those responsible Republicans, who do not like excessive extremism of the conduct of the party, where already the Tea Party appears to be not widely appreciated by the senior management. Everything always in the wake of stiff opposition to the Democratic nomination of Hillary Clinton, which is one of the essential problems of the political program of Ruiz. The candidate of Cuban origin can be seen more favorably for the intention demonstrated the will to want to unify the party, a dowry seen as crucial by the Republican Steering and missing entirely, instead, to Donald Trump. Moreover since the entry into the race of the billionaire, the party has not seen favorably political programs carried out with too much emphasis and outside the scheme moderate, which have been identified as further divisive for a party, where there are already too many conflicting currents that give the perception of a political body excessively fragmented. He not at all the same Ruiz rightly emphasized his ability to unify the party as one of the main qualities, able to facilitate the victory. In fact the gap in Iowa between Ruiz and Trump was only worth around four percent; a statement that the game's traditional voters, but not to the executive apparatus away from any other surprises. In any case, the big loser of the consultation Iowa is just the top Republican, who liked rather the affirmation of Rubio, now identified as the ideal candidate by party leaders, after Jeb Bush is out of the picture. The third place obtained by Rubio could bestow upon this candidate electoral funding that was intended precisely to Bush and favor the odd man out in the nomination fight. The signal confirming however, the great division within the party that helps to create additional uncertainty about who to elect presidential candidate. In the democratic camp also nominated Clinton, although winner, had confirmed the forecast survey, obtaining the first place with the result of 49.9% against 49.6% of Sanders, who betrays some doubts about the regularity of the accounting electoral. The comeback of the candidate who calls himself a socialist, that will win about 40% compared to the forecast, it is pretty much a win and it is a real alarm for Hillary Clinton, forced to move more and more to the left on his election program, not to leave larger and larger spaces in what is now his main rival. Compared to the beginning of the election campaign, Clinton now promises an increased taxation for high net worth and more control on speculative financial. This shift, while it might enable him to gain some consensus, the other is likely to alienate more moderate and consensus together, the more suspicious about the real conviction that this radical political tack. Clinton is the Democratic nominee favored, but the narrow victory in Iowa shows that the potential votes of the left can move the electoral programs and thus leave open some glimmer of hope for those who tried so sincere from the very beginning.