Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 30 marzo 2016
The decline in the popularity of Al Sisi, can open a season of deep uncertainty in Egypt
The
question of the truth about the death of the Italian researcher,
coincides with one of the lowest points of the popularity of Egyptian
President Al Sisi. It
is not only the behavior of sectors linked to the state forces, which
also appear to have aggravated their impunity, even from the days of
Mubarak, but to the whole of the country's situation is very difficult,
from the economic to the political situation , to get to the international one. Took
office after having averted the seizure of power in a strictly
religious sense of the Muslim Brotherhood, who wanted to apply sharia as
state law and, thereby, erasing democracy and the rights of minorities,
Al Sisi was credited abroad as a defender of 'West by the advance of religious fundamentalism. His
rise to power was viewed favorably by the United States and Israel, as
the positions very close to fundamentalism of the Muslim Brotherhood
could endanger the already uncertain balance of the region. Armed
with this support Al Sisi, he believed they could exercise power
without any control, applying a fierce repression of opponents, directed
not only against sectarian political parties, but also against the
secular ones, who understood and denounced almost immediately abuses the military junta. The
conditions that allowed Al Sisi to take power at the beginning favored
economic agreements outlining such great foreign investment, to revive
an economy in deep crisis, one of the reasons they had opened the
rebellions against Mubarak. The
initial military action had given the West the feeling of having
stabilized a political reality with a severe balance precarious,
however, this assessment proved to be a mistake as a result of the
procedures for the power of the army, who are You have been marked by ever increasing violence and outside of limitation. The
armed forces, true occult power of the country, not only for the
monopoly of force, but to be in control of even the most important part
of the economy, have acted undisturbed and beyond any theoretical rule,
in defiance of the rights civil and political rights of the population. Have
multiplied the cases of disappearances of persons unwelcome to the
regime, torture and assassinations, along with the cancellation of legal
protections, it remained only in a theoretical sense. This
led to the increase in acts of rebellion, often coinciding with genuine
terrorist acts of intimidation by the regime and its economy. The
Russian attack aircraft, which resulted in the deaths of more than 200
tourists is the most striking example of the reasons that led to the
crisis of Egyptian tourism, one of the sources of increased entry of
foreign currency into the country. This
has resulted in a contraction of the economy, which suffered from the
non-arrival of the expected foreign investment, because of the overall
situation of poor security of the country, giving a volume of Egyptian
currency has undergone a devaluation, which made it even more precarious
conditions the Egyptian people. It is estimated that at least 40% of Egyptians live on less than two dollars daily. It must be recalled, once again, that the main reasons for the rebellion against Mubarak, there were just economic factors. Egypt's
framework has thus become very worrying, with increasingly concerned
about a neighbor unreliable western states, that at the international
level, it is an ambiguous compromise to conduct the fight against
terrorism because of ties with Turkey and Saudi Arabia in the name of Sunni common denominator. In
this context the popularity of Al Sisi, both at home and abroad has
been dramatically reduced, threatening to spark a feud between the
branches of government and the various currents within the armed forces,
who see the common element Al Sisi, in fact, more and more weakened. This
scenario prevents reliable predictions on the future of a country,
which appears, once again, on the verge of a serious crisis, whose
consequences are difficult to predict.
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