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mercoledì 30 marzo 2016

The decline in the popularity of Al Sisi, can open a season of deep uncertainty in Egypt

The question of the truth about the death of the Italian researcher, coincides with one of the lowest points of the popularity of Egyptian President Al Sisi. It is not only the behavior of sectors linked to the state forces, which also appear to have aggravated their impunity, even from the days of Mubarak, but to the whole of the country's situation is very difficult, from the economic to the political situation , to get to the international one. Took office after having averted the seizure of power in a strictly religious sense of the Muslim Brotherhood, who wanted to apply sharia as state law and, thereby, erasing democracy and the rights of minorities, Al Sisi was credited abroad as a defender of 'West by the advance of religious fundamentalism. His rise to power was viewed favorably by the United States and Israel, as the positions very close to fundamentalism of the Muslim Brotherhood could endanger the already uncertain balance of the region. Armed with this support Al Sisi, he believed they could exercise power without any control, applying a fierce repression of opponents, directed not only against sectarian political parties, but also against the secular ones, who understood and denounced almost immediately abuses the military junta. The conditions that allowed Al Sisi to take power at the beginning favored economic agreements outlining such great foreign investment, to revive an economy in deep crisis, one of the reasons they had opened the rebellions against Mubarak. The initial military action had given the West the feeling of having stabilized a political reality with a severe balance precarious, however, this assessment proved to be a mistake as a result of the procedures for the power of the army, who are You have been marked by ever increasing violence and outside of limitation. The armed forces, true occult power of the country, not only for the monopoly of force, but to be in control of even the most important part of the economy, have acted undisturbed and beyond any theoretical rule, in defiance of the rights civil and political rights of the population. Have multiplied the cases of disappearances of persons unwelcome to the regime, torture and assassinations, along with the cancellation of legal protections, it remained only in a theoretical sense. This led to the increase in acts of rebellion, often coinciding with genuine terrorist acts of intimidation by the regime and its economy. The Russian attack aircraft, which resulted in the deaths of more than 200 tourists is the most striking example of the reasons that led to the crisis of Egyptian tourism, one of the sources of increased entry of foreign currency into the country. This has resulted in a contraction of the economy, which suffered from the non-arrival of the expected foreign investment, because of the overall situation of poor security of the country, giving a volume of Egyptian currency has undergone a devaluation, which made it even more precarious conditions the Egyptian people. It is estimated that at least 40% of Egyptians live on less than two dollars daily. It must be recalled, once again, that the main reasons for the rebellion against Mubarak, there were just economic factors. Egypt's framework has thus become very worrying, with increasingly concerned about a neighbor unreliable western states, that at the international level, it is an ambiguous compromise to conduct the fight against terrorism because of ties with Turkey and Saudi Arabia in the name of Sunni common denominator. In this context the popularity of Al Sisi, both at home and abroad has been dramatically reduced, threatening to spark a feud between the branches of government and the various currents within the armed forces, who see the common element Al Sisi, in fact, more and more weakened. This scenario prevents reliable predictions on the future of a country, which appears, once again, on the verge of a serious crisis, whose consequences are difficult to predict.

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