Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
Cerca nel blog
martedì 15 marzo 2016
The Kurdish variable in the Middle East issue
Inside the Middle East war and the Syrian, the Kurdish variable increases its importance. In
the case of the Syrian conflict the Kurdish rebellion against Assad has
had, at least initially, an aversion to Damascus even greater than that
of the Sunnis, resulting from the repression that the central
government of the Kurds, who had been deprived of the right of
citizenship. This measure had affected over 300,000 people, which had become impossible any legal activity. Protests
against this suppression of rights, had resulted in a harsh crackdown
by Assad, who rightly feared the contagion even outside of the Kurdish
territories. However,
the Kurds have also had to struggle against opposition groups in
Damascus regime, organizations controlled by the Sunnis, who did not
take into consideration the demands of Kurdish independence. So
until the beginning of the conflict the Kurds have had to fight their
war in single mode, relying on sporadic aid of the Americans, often
arrived in a clandestine manner as to not offend the ally turkish. On
the other hand, the underlying reasons and the way to fight the Kurds
did not sit with potential Sunni allies, fighting to replace the domain
with the Sunni-Alawite, a strongly characterized by the element
religious vision, though not exaggerated as that of Islamic state. On the contrary the Kurds have focused their fight for independence to be exercised in obtaining a secular and democratic way; this
attitude defined and identified in the main Kurdish military actors in
the fight against religious extremism, entrusting them with tasks on the
terrain of extreme strategic importance. This
vision, however, is not so unified as it seems: the Kurdish movement,
the beginning of the conflict, was divided into at least 30 different
factions, where one of the major continues to be influenced by the
Marxist view; However,
the nationalist element has been the glue and the need to defend itself
as a compact group based on ethnicity, has overcome profound
differences. In
this phase of the conflict the initial enemy Assad seems to have taken a
smaller role in the Kurdish struggle, more threatened by hostility
Turkish. The
evolution of the scenario of the Syrian war has allowed the Kurds to
gain important positions on the Syrian territory, positions to which
Assad might as well give up and that could enable you to create a
corridor capable of uniting Syrian Kurds territories with the Iraqis,
this could enable the birth of the much-needed independent Kurdish state. This
prospect frightens Turkey, which is likely to find its borders a
Kurdish state, which borders the predominantly Kurdish region of Turkey:
a potential extremely destabilizing factor. It
must be recalled that one of the solutions proposed by different
analysts, for the solution of the Syrian war is the division of the
country into three parts: the first one reserved to the Alawites,
Sunnis, and the second to the third, just the Kurds. This option would be in line with expectations of creating a Kurdish state. Then
there is to consider that as part of the strategy Assad and Putin,
against Ankara, which became the main regional enemy, the Kurdish
presence is a deterrent against Turkey; this aspect is likely, however, soured relationships between the state turkish and the US. Washington
has serious difficulties in managing relationships with the Kurds, who
are loyal US allies since the times of the war against Saddam and have
been trained and equipped by the Americans for a long time. The
White House, too, can not keep into account the contribution provided
on the ground against the Islamic Republic, but neither can it worsen
relations with Ankara, deteriorated with the progress of the fight
against the caliphate. Framing,
then, is the Kurdish issue in a broader international perspective one
can not foresee a growing specific weight and influence far beyond the
local dimension and current policy. In
fact, from side scenario, both the Syrian conflict, which the Iraqi and
one against the Islamic state, the Kurdish issue is likely to become
central to the resolution of all against war and all the balance of the
Middle East region. It
will be essential that the role will be played by diplomacy, especially
if you want to recognize the legitimate ambitions of the Kurdish people
that has long waits for its own sovereign state, a state that could
become democratic, according to the Western sense, the center of so many
states they
are still too influenced religious-looking and thus set an example for
greater democratic secularism also for other countries.
Iscriviti a:
Commenti sul post (Atom)
Nessun commento:
Posta un commento