USA: The Republican Party could choose the candidate for nomination by voting delegates

For the Republican Party of the United States, in addition to the problem Trump, not like the direction of the party, there is a real risk of a convention dominated by profound uncertainty. If none of the candidates in contention were to reach an altitude of 1,237 delegates in their favor, the nomination for the candidacy for President will be decided just by the delegates themselves. The mechanism foresees that in the first vote, the delegates should follow the outcome of the originating state, but in successive votes this decade constraint, while remain close to the minimum share to be achieved to the extent of 1,237 preferences. So there may be the need for more voting, if that occurred the last time in 1948; while 1978 was the last time you had to resort to this method to determine the nomination. If, on the one hand, the uncertainty of the outcome of the convention could lead to unexpected choices, with the leadership of the party unable to exercise control it is also true that some Republican leaders that eventuality could be appreciated, because it would be the way to avoid a nomination Trump, largely unwelcome to Republican leaders. Donald Trump is a problem difficult to solve for its overly populist approach and not up to hold the highest position of the planet. The American billionaire has opted for a racist campaign and full of vulgarity and banality, without proposing an electoral program to the task for which he intends to run. The aversion of the traditionalist Republicans came to conceive to vote for Clinton, if you reach the Democratic nomination, rather than see the triumph that a candidate under the republican insignia. This possibility of election by the presidential candidate with the election of delegates, could offer a way out for the party organizations to avoid the election of Trump, electing a candidate not compromise on the media plan, which, however, would not that little chance of winning. For the Republicans the dilemma is that you can win with a candidate who would alter the fundamental ideas of a party that is undergoing a tea party by genetic mutation, making the transformation irreversible or settle for an honorable defeat a candidate presentable for allow governing bodies of reshaping the political formation discarding populist and reactionary options. Certainly a maneuver aimed at eliminating Trump would immediately of significant consequences on the structure of the party, even for the threats of the same Trump who fears a decision of the Republican training in this regard. Donald Trump has openly threatened the possibility of clashes if the party does not give him the nomination, a sign that the opportunity is becoming concrete, despite still missing three months at the end of the primaries. There are still 29 states where you have to carry out the party votes; Trump must get to win 59% of the delegates and the opportunity is difficult, since so far, in any voting, has never exceeded the 40% stake. Thus, there is a way out for the part of the Republicans who declined to be represented by Trump and might opt ​​for an institutional candidate, however, this state of affairs is likely to precipitate even lower levels of the election campaign, forcing Trump radicalize its message to call to more heavily vote the most "angry American voters." This will only alienate even more the leaders of the party and all the moderate Republican voters by a candidate they believe can not be recognized, but it can also be quite the opposite, that is, all voters to the right of the party that they will distance themselves from summit, opening a scenario that could culminate in a split in the Republican party, which could have consequences not indifferent on the American political system, putting in crisis bipartisanship.