Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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martedì 12 aprile 2016
Britain threatens the dissolution
The one who failed to Scottish referendum or to the long war in northern Ireland could be caused from evasion in tax havens. Because
the scandal of Panama Papers, which involves very heavy so the British
Prime Minister Cameron may well result in more than a purely political
scandal, but may relate to the social order of the United Kingdom and
its integrity. It
must be recalled that the referendum on the European Union is imminent:
the majority party, the conservative one is split in two on voting
intentions, but the part favorable to stay inside in Brussels, although
with all details and advantageous conditions only London, is the one that refers precisely to Cameron. It
understands how the loss of credibility of the Prime Minister, who
first denied involvement in the deal Panamanian and then had to admit an
uncomfortable truth, reduces the percentages in favor of staying in
Brussels for an erosion of the consensus that appears, at this point, physiological. The
most dangerous consequence for the integrity of the UK is represented
by the will of Wales and Scotland to remain in the European Union
anyway, so if this scenario were to be confirmed by a negative vote in
London Britain would not exist more, but, reasonably, it would lead to only speak of Britain. The
evolution of the British situation should be, that is, undergoes a sort
of dissolution in which the benefits expected from the European Union
will be thrown away by their own consequences. Already
at this time the political situation is difficult and the country heads
towards an instability that causes deep uncertainty for the economy. Stock
exchanges and financial operators are following with great concern
developments in the situation, being aware that an exit from Brussels
would drastically reduce their operating margins. Even from the social point of view the condition of the country is not the best; as
highlighted by the leader of the opposition, the Labour Corbyn, the big
tax burden on the middle classes is now more justified by the exemption
of the super rich, who, in addition, have enjoyed the opportunity to
hide in tax havens large part of their income. This
theme has been shown to scare the same Cameron has promised that a
Conservative government action in London to combat tax evasion, also
providing for the criminal offense for anyone who facilitates the
illegal export of capital. These
measures appear, however, late and set out for the need to remedy an
objectively difficult personal situational also the phenomenon was known
for a long time and you never wanted to regularize. For
these reasons, attempts to remedy operated by Cameron appeared
immediately clumsy and without effect on the political level by
highlighting the current weakness of the British prime minister. The
real risk, the immediate is to divide the country and exacerbate the
deep inequality present in the English social fabric, undermining the
balance of overseas companies. As
for the prospects of staying in the European Union the issue becomes
more difficult, London's output appears increasingly likely, and this
should result in the immediate study of countermeasures by Brussels,
which, until now, has aimed only to make concessions to the British government to help maintain the UK within the perimeter of the Union; also
they will present the difficult cases involving Wales and Scotland
intending to remain in Europe, which will become the new legal case in
Community law, also because it appears very likely that London will put
pressure to that effect. The
challenges that start with these scenarios will constitute a proof of
great value for Brussels that will have to know how to manage, in the
case of output of London, a whole series of new situations, of which
does not seem to be entirely conscious.
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