Besides the recapture of Fallujah

The offensive Iraqi army to conquer Fallujah is imminent. From a military point of view, despite all the difficulties of the case, the transactions should be facilitated by the provisions of the Caliphate troops, reduced in their total number in the city, due to heavy defections; this should result in a preponderance of Iraqi regular forces, joined by the aeronautical power ensured by the coalition led by the United States. The conquest of Falluja, from the tactical point of view, would be an important element, because it can prevent actions of the Islamic State to the country's capital, Baghdad. Fallujah, in fact, is situated just 50 kilometers from Baghdad and its conquest was part, in the plans of the caliphate, just as a basis for bringing radical attack in the heart of the state of Iraq. In the imminent battle to retake the city must consider some aspects, that if, should be decisive for the final result, should be viewed with great attention to maintain a balance, though fragile, for certain period immediately after the reconquest. The composition of the forces in the field, in fact, provides a large supply of military and Shiite militias in a theater of war predominantly Sunni; This factor, combined with the fact that the government of Iraq continues to be an expression of the Shiites, could generate an aversion similar to that which has arisen favoring the expansion of the caliphate, which concerned, precisely on the opposition within the Iraqi territory between Sunnis and Shiites. Certainly it is taken into account that in the very short term the greatest urgency is given by the reconquest of the city and consequently inflict a defeat to the image to the caliphate, in addition to reducing its territorial sovereignty to get to the final defeat; These targets are coincident both Baghdad, which for Washington, but without a schedule after the military success, although announced, is likely to be frustrated by the revival of the usual antagonisms. Probably at this time the population of Fallujah is suffering beyond endurance domination of the Islamic state, and for the legal conditions imposed, based on the strict application of sharia, for both increasingly critical conditions of food supplies and poor medical conditions and therefore should welcome positively the ouster of the Islamic state, the problem will keep this favor even when the situation is normalized. From this point of view Fallujah will not become a sort of laboratory in which to develop a sustainable system coexistence between Shiites and Sunnis, especially if the future of the Iraqi country will be to remain united in their territory. The first condition, that the US has repeatedly recommended and the central government is setting up is an increasing involvement of the Sunni society starting from their basic social structures, represented by tribal clans, which represent the most effective means for the departure a new relationship between the Sunni and Shiite members, who at present hold power through the government. The US has identified as a priority, with a view to prevent further abuses of Sunni Islamic radicalism, maintaining the country's unity, believing that the most effective solution for the control of Sunni extremism matrix; until now, due mainly military commitment, they did not develop collaborations between the two sides, but the involvement of Sunni tribal militias against the Islamic state, but, in the future, it is impossible to predict a change at the legislative level crucial that provides for a more equitable distribution of power. It must be remembered that if the Sunnis had this prerogative with the state led by Saddam Hussein, the dictator fell was left too much power to the Shiites, who have worked in their favor and have also made sold contrary to national reconciliation. This aspect has been underestimated to analyze the growth of the Islamic state, which was certainly also helped other factors, but they are certainly not superior to the opposition between Shiites and Sunnis, who was not at all governed. Certainly there is also the option of dividing the state of Iraq, but in this case the opposition of Washington prevents such a solution, even if in a future where you might think extirpated of fundamentalism could open at least a kind of federation which antechamber three different states, even counting the Kurds, who already enjoy wide political and administrative autonomy.