Cameron in difficulty on the probability of leaving Union

The date of the referendum on Britain's European Union is approaching and the odds are increasingly uncertain, even for the many people who have not yet registered for the voting process. The great uncertainty is likely to be reflected on the government of Prime Minister Cameron, who at the time is based on only 17 votes to retain an absolute majority. The main problem is that the Conservative Party is taking place a clear division between opposed and favorable exit from Brussels, which could permanently affect the unity of political education. If it is assumed that in case of defeat, Cameron would be forced to resign, it is not at all certain that in case of victory will keep their premier of the country, because the government is likely to succumb precisely because of the possible votes against the conservative MPs favorable to escape from Europe. Moreover, the political atmosphere in the ruling party is increasingly strained, because of the attacks that Cameron continues to receive from supporters of the opposition in Brussels. It is a clear and obvious sign, as denoting the position of leader of the Conservative Party, Cameron, you always turn away more, with any outcome will return to the polls. The major opponent of Cameron, the former mayor of London, Boris Johnson, seems to have an easy game, especially in these days, in which intensified the landings on the continent, to stress that Europe's role of reducing immigration is totally failed; It has a vision, even if true, certainly partial and above all functional objective to leave the European Union, which takes no account of the sins of the same United Kingdom on the issue of migrants, which often has been supportive in word only. On the other hand in England populist positions are advancing in those social groups that, as planned, would have the greatest impact, the economic side, with the Union's output. Some forecasts estimate an average decrease in wages of about 38 pounds per week, an amount certainly not negligible, as the output will be negligible impact from the union on the turnover of finance and industrial sales. Cameron, in recent days has played a card that gave the impression of being one of despair: in fact has held rallies in favor of staying in Europe along with the Mayor of London, the Labour Sadiq Khan. On the results of this move, probably risky, within the environment of the conservatives, is very doubtful so that it can produce a turnaround, especially in the most Europe-oriented output environments. Probably Cameron, with this initiative, intended to intercept the undecided vote, by passing a cross-idea of ​​the disadvantages that the output from the union would produce. However, the vision of many conservatives remain against the negative forecasts, assuming correct adverse scenarios, they see a British economy squeeze, resulting from their agreements that Cameron did with Brussels to stay in Europe, because they are too subject to a kind of foreign invasion, not only migrants to the UK. This is because deepening aversion to Europe is first of all in the contrary, the perception of a loss of sovereignty no longer recoverable, both from a purely political point of view and then the legislative, that what concerns the culture, customs and costumes, of which the British are firmly jealous. According to this interpretation the advantages of Europe could not compensate for the loss of cultural identity, undermined by the growing presence of invasive Brussels laws and the increase of the foreign population, including often counts also that coming from the rest of the other European countries. Who supports the exit of England, in essence, has only highlighted a latent incompatibility shuffle their country with other nations, as ever-present feeling, but that was only exacerbated by the economic crisis. With these perspectives the fate of Cameron seems marked: unpopular with Labour, even a substantial part of their own party now sees it as a foreign body and the most likely outcome in the future of the country, whatever the outcome of the referendum, it will be distrust of this executive and a new election.