Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 16 giugno 2016
The dangerous European Union immediate future
The
French agriculture policies and social conditions, combined with the
increasingly pressing danger of terrorist acts and the possibility
output of Britain by the European Union, they paint a scenario with the
highly elevated levels of danger for Brussels and all euro area
countries European. The
French situation seems now, represent the most pressing emergency, even
more of the same consequences as the result of the British referendum. The
level of social conflict, following the reform of the proposed work by
the government in Paris, reports a situation of increasing instability,
which follows a broad social dissatisfaction, which was not
intentionally taken into account. The
French executive is aligned with his behavior to that of most other
European countries, who have chosen a compression of rights at work,
sacrificed in the name of greater flexibility and productivity. By
contrast the same parameters were not applied to the operating
conditions of banks and financial institutions, which have enjoyed
subsidies and a freedom of maneuver unjustified, especially in relation
to made disasters. In
France, the social base has proved, however, passive hand than in other
countries and the level of confrontation, it soon became a variable in
which the French government apparently had not taken into account. The
high adhesion to strikes and boycotts of the normal functioning of the
country show a willingness to fight, which is a seemingly insurmountable
problem for the government. SI is a highly explosive situation, which could degenerate into even violent situations. You
need not what the so-called French May produced in the sixties of last
century, going to affect everything a continental protest movement; the
fear of many analysts is that a similar situation will occur and that
the discontent already present in the other countries will turn to
violent actions or otherwise tending to boycott the functioning of
countries. A sort of cross agitation able to put across the European Union to its knees. Think
of a combination of this scenario with the release of the UK union: in
the short term could mean a decline in the financial markets and the
creation of a situation of social danger, able to alter the European
balance. Needless
to say, this would create the ideal situation for the affirmation of
European anti movements, already strong without these conditions, with
the possible result of a significant alteration of the law on which is
based in Brussels. The
real risk is that the England output tapers a domino effect, but the
possibility is the same, due to the influence of the French unrest,
which are based on the opposition of the reduction of workers' rights. He
seems useless to emphasize that broad sections of society in the
European continent are exasperated impoverishment suffered for their
sins and not to materially support the burden of the crisis in a
situation where the increase in inequality is one more reason to stand
against the current system. Then
we must not forget the problem of terrorism, which in a situation of
fragility of political systems find more opportunities for affirmation
and proselytism, especially in those social groups determinants of
countries, which are subject to religious extremism. To
complete the scenario one can quote the ninth issue of migration, which
carries two different pressures on the states of the union, the first
consists of the same management of the problem, with the resistance of
some countries to engage on this front and the second, consequence
of the first, are the tensions that are created on the nations for
different commitments for the resolution of the problem itself. If
these differences will raise the comparison of the diplomatic tone, it
can not be taken avoidable net position which can produce sanctions,
further aggravating element of the dialectic within the union. As
we see the immediate future that lies ahead is far from easy to resolve
and the behavior of Brussels and state seems totally inadequate. The
center of Europe seems to lead a management from normal business
operations, without understanding the extraordinary nature of the
current situation, while each country seems to proceed as an independent
right of small gift with cabotage decisions that lose sight of the
common framework and, above all, do not embrace long scenarios period. Await
the outcome of the British referendum with such a passive mode denotes a
unconsciousness unsuited to the government of such vast and important
areas, as well as continue to disregard the needs of citizens and force
them to accept decisions fell from above, it can only produce failure perhaps irreparable.
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