Military transformation of the Islamic State

If, from the classic military sense, that is the environment they face off against armies in more or less conventional, the forces of the Islamic State are facing more and more decisive defeats, the reaction of the caliphate has moved on to a more international conflict became asymmetrical. The inability to maintain positions in the land conquered and transformed in the sovereignty of the Islamic state, due to a number of reasons, not all military, led to an increase in acts of terrorism worldwide, in retaliation of the military successes of the army Iraq and its allies, the Scythians and Western forces with the US in the first row. The objectives of the Islamic State have thus become the Sunnis of countries that supported implicitly the caliphate, foreign countries in Sunni and Shiites in Iraq. These phenomena have increased with the siege of Raqqa and seem to mark a turning point in the methodology of the fight against their enemies by the men of the caliphate. This transformation is dictated by contingent reasons, they see primarily the loss of sovereignty over the conquered territory and the consequent need to develop new forms of struggle, which may be within the reduced availability of fighting Islamic extremists; in this sense, one can not but notice that the Islamic state is undergoing a transformation towards a classical terrorist activity, which appears to approach her, especially as operating modes, with Al Qaeda. There is primarily a punitive intent in the interpretation of the terrorist attacks in Istanbul and Saudi Arabia; these two countries provided a hidden support for the Islamic state for their geopolitical purposes, both to counter Iran, that to achieve their aims on Syria. The executives of these Sunni countries have been forced to change their attitude by the evolution of the conflict, which threatened to bring the war within their borders, both by American pressure, sure this could tolerate too ambiguous attitude in contrast to the caliphate. Especially Turkey, where transited oil sold by the Islamic state and which served as the main source of funding, has had to cease these trades, and this resulted in a violent response caused by a sense of betrayal by Ankara. In these attacks we have identified a change of the authors, who have gone from being inexperienced people to sacrifice without great losses in terms of knowledge, to the use of more bombers trained militarily, whose sacrifice implies a subtraction to the most experienced fighters of the parties caliphate. This change of direction was imposed by the increased attention of the police force to which he had to respond with the use of personnel able to circumvent controls and therefore have a higher training. This consideration shows that it has become a priority the use of trained fighters in suicide bombings, taken from the battle zones, because of the negative outcome of the war for the caliphate. This can also mean that the Islamic state beginning to consider the military defeat as a possibility with big chances of happening. This scenario thus implies an increase of asymmetrical combat mode, tend to create terror and alter the balance in the Sunni nations where there are Western interests in Shiite areas to exacerbate religious conflict. Consequently, the Court also make some considerations on the mode of conduct of the war against the Islamic State in Iraqi territory if, as already mentioned, the military victories seem indisputable, it is equally true that they do not go hand in hand with proper operation of improvement social conditions of the population that has suffered the sovereignty of the Islamic state and thus with a better perception of the Iraqi government. It should be noted in this regard, that the state of Iraq is ruled by Shiites, who are the minority in the country, and that, for this reason, must win the trust of the Sunni areas; although the best solution would be a division of the central power, waiting for this opportunity, the government in Baghdad should focus on rebuilding large investments, especially in infrastructure such as hospitals, schools and roads, in order to demonstrate in a tangible way attention to the Sunni part of the country. Without this policy the risk is to see defeat the military effort because not supported by an adequate involvement of the population and therefore capable of encouraging more breeding grounds for terrorism.