Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
Cerca nel blog
lunedì 22 agosto 2016
Assad causes a Kurdish issue
Behind
the new Syrian targets, identified in the Kurdish positions, bombed by
the army of Assad, there is all the change in Turkish foreign policy. Damascus
has long exploited the Kurdish military's ability to fight on the
ground, to stem the forces of the Islamic State, to act in a way, albeit
unofficial, mutual non-aggression with Kurdish fighters, because of the
same objectives against the caliphate. Even with the beginning of Russian aid, the situation seemed changed; on the contrary, with the increasing dependence on Moscow, the Kremlin must have imposed on Assad a change of direction. Putin,
who became the real director of the Syrian issue, it must give
something to the Turks, to justify their assent to the presence of Assad
in the upcoming negotiations for the future of Syria. What
one is driving, in fact is the first consequence of the rapprochement
of Turkey and Russia, with Moscow forced to pander to Ankara's policy,
strongly opposed to the possibility of the emergence of a Kurdish state
on their borders. The
Kremlin, in essence, sacrifice the Kurdish question to meet their
diplomatic and economic needs, leaving a goal for Erdogan's government a
victory in a key issue for the executive turkish. The
bombings carried out by Assad on Kurdish positions, in fact, have
suffered caused the satisfaction of Ankara and an approach to the
Damascus regime, until a short time before it impossible even just to
predict. More
specifically, the turkish government has appreciated the new vision
that Assad has matured on the Kurds, and concluded that Damascus also
identifies the Kurdish militias as an expression of terrorism. The
question, however, is not so simple and, indeed, hides many pitfalls on
international developments: in fact bombed by Assad stations belong to
the militias of the Kurdish self-defense, found in the north eastern
region of Syria, formally allied to the United States in the war on the
Islamic state. On
the territory there are also US special forces, who collaborate with
the Kurds, whose presence caused the number of American military
aircraft, just in the USA actual protection. As
we see the possibility of confrontation between American and Syrian,
and consequently also Russian, it has risen dramatically, creating a
situation of great danger for the regional and global balance. Needless to say the game is doing Russia is extremely dangerous, but there is, as a novelty mode. Moscow seems to want to bring the situation to the limit, and then benefit from the behavior of those who are most responsible. There
is a further point to make, with regard to the increasing importance of
the Kurdish question in the economy of the Middle East situation and is
represented by the impossibility to postpone its solution. As
for Syria, previously it seemed possible that Assad could give up the
territory of the Kurdish minority, but the rapprochement with Turkey
appears to have made void this possibility, also justified by the need
for Russia and Iran, to Damascus to ensure the integrity territorial Syrian country. This
solution promises to be difficult not only for the Kurds, but also to
the democratic forces that fought the regime of Damascus, with the
intention to replace it with a democracy, and foreshadows a ruling of no
small importance, as regards the possible outcome of negotiations for the future Syria. But
the Kurdish question not only for Syria but also in Iraq, which begins
to suffer Kurdish military successes, whose intention is precisely to
give birth to a sovereign state in the Iraqi region, who are already
enjoying considerable autonomy . If,
on the one hand you can understand how Iraq wants to preserve its
territorial integrity, it is also understandable the Kurdish desire to
have a tangible compensation for the effort, supported often by
themselves, Kurdish fighters, to stem the offensive of the State Muslim, when he was at the height of its power. Putin
will also use the Kurdish issue to their advantage, fueling not only
Syria, but perhaps even Iraq itself, but this will not be possible for
Member States, deeply linked to the Kurds since the time of the second
Gulf War, for 'aid received against Saddam Hussein. A
possible war against the Kurds can not be ignored by Washington in the
most absolute and do not get to too dangerous points would be good
diplomacy might open the comparison tables to prevent a potentially
explosive situation, not only from the side of international relations,
but also those of terrorism.
Iscriviti a:
Commenti sul post (Atom)
Nessun commento:
Posta un commento