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Politica Internazionale
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lunedì 8 agosto 2016
The Taliban are advancing in Afghanistan
After fifteen years of conflict in Afghanistan, the situation in the country is far from resolved. Because
of the failure of the creation of a national army, which was already
arriving at actual 370,000, and, on the other hand, amounted to a force
of 170,000 men, the state is unable to have complete control of the
national territory. Several
districts are under the sovereignty of the Taliban, which, in addition
to administering them by applying Islamic law, have established
operational bases for their armed forces, training centers, both for the
fighters, which for Kamikaze, forcing the local population to be subservient to the will of the fundamentalists. The
problem of the Afghan state is also due to a corrupt political class,
which has failed to make progress on the political level and the absence
of agreements with the parties less influenced by religion of Taliban
organizations, present in the tribal structures, those to which it is
necessary contact. Control
over several districts of Islamic fundamentalists forced the state
apparatus at year waiver of sovereignty over parts of the country,
which, in fact, are placed outside the state structure. The
attitude of the armed forces is part of this problem, since the poor
operational capabilities of the military, forces them to a defensive
tactic, which does not allow actions aimed at the reconquest of the
territory. It
is a war of attrition, where the Taliban exert a slow but steady
progress, which nullifies all the efforts of the international coalition
and especially the United States. Since
2001, the Western investment was 65 billion dollars only for training
and provision of the necessary weapons to build and equip an army, that
practically did not exist. The
situation of the small number of staff depends on a poor attitude of
Afghans for military life and also the large number of desertions of
which suffer from the national armed forces. The
perception is that the Afghans themselves are unconvinced of the
usefulness of a national army and still prefer the western protection. In
the period between 2015 and the beginning of 2016 it is estimated that
the actual which were replaced has been at least one third, with the
result that a large number of Afghan soldiers either unprepared for the
direct fight against the Taliban, most trained and motivated and accustomed to move out of a well-known terrain. Officially
ended in 2014, the operations for the liberation of Afghanistan, in
fact have only been reduced and the official commitment made in Poland
ensuring the presence of Western forces until 2020; the
program would be to make self the national army to win the contest with
the Taliban, but now this result seems very far away. What
is missing in Kabul, beyond what has been previously mentioned, is a
diplomatic structure able to establish relations with neighboring
states, to undertake a project that will take away the Taliban militia
direct and indirect support, which some neighboring states to secure
him. In
particular the attitude of Pakistan continues to be not too clear,
partly because the pressure on Afghanistan keeps open ambitions to
influence Kabul. The
general picture of the situation imposes on Western forces and the
United States to treat the Afghan problem with even greater caution: if
the aim of creating an independent state and entered the western
alliance, so far failed, for the next president who will occupy the White House the issue of Kabul place on the world stage will recur on time. Prevent
the expansion of the Taliban remains a key priority in the fight
against terrorism, the conflict in Syria and Iraq has certainly not
decreased; indeed
necessary to avoid that the level of this contagion will spread even to
these, to avoid even greater enlargements, capable of altering the
regional and global equilibrium.
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