Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 25 agosto 2016
Turkey supports the rebel forces to Assad
The
Syrian war is enriched with new variables: falls, in fact, in this
series, the action that Turkey has conducted on the territory of Syria,
with its own air force and army, alongside the rebels against Assad, who
are part secular and allied engagements, the Americans, against the positions of the Islamic State. The
main interest of Ankara remains to damage the Kurds, to avoid a
dismemberment of Syria, capable of allowing a Kurdish union able to
establish a state on the border with Turkey. To
support this real goal, Turkey claims to want to prevent the
territorial dismemberment of the Syrian nation, but, at this juncture,
supports the enemies of Assad, which further complicate the general
framework of alliances. That
Damascus did not like the Turkish action, proves the protest of the
Assad government, which defined the entrance not agreed on its territory
as a violation of the sovereignty of the country. The
Kurds themselves have defined as a violation of Syrian affairs Turkish
maneuver, expressing a substantially same findings of Damascus. Erdogan now shows all his skills as a political balancing act, that put it in competition with Putin and Assad himself. It
does not seem accidental that the action of Ankara in Syria occurred
almost concurrently with the visit of US Vice President Erdogan. The
purpose of the American mission was to reconnect Turkey as an ally,
considered essential in the framework of the Atlantic Alliance, and try
to eliminate the danger of an increasingly close relationship with
Russia. If
the United States were convinced of the necessity of the presence of
Turkey, including its allies, despite the problems related to an
increasingly less democratic vision of the Ankara government, because
once again they put before their needs to the general principles of democracy, of which you claim to be universal carriers. In
any case, if Assad Turkey, had suggested its support for its presence
in the negotiations which, at the end of the conflict, will define the
future structure of Syria, will not it do the same to the democratic
forces backed by Washington, who has now joined the field. This
prospect is likely to complicate the future of the Syrian country,
putting two-part comparison, which have been said, until now
irreconcilable. If
this happens in Washington, will, at the very least, the bill drew with
Moscow on the game, the whole de define, for the future of Syria. It
will, however, be interesting to see what will be the immediate
reaction of Moscow to the one that might be at regarded as an American
interference, within a framework that Putin believed to have led to his
favor. The
Turkish action, however, puts everything into question and could lead
to the rapprochement of the Kurds with Assad, just in an anti Ankara. Must
be specified for closer to Erdogan, the United States pledged not to
support the creation of a Kurdish state on Turkey's border, at this time
the main focus of the Ankara government, sacrificing the demands of the
Kurds in Syria. The
US is conducting a dangerous political game to the importance of the
role played on the ground in contrast to the forces of the Islamic
State, Washington can do this because in them the Kurds are not united
and why probably, will support a form of fairly extensive autonomy for the Kurdish regions, even within a united Syria yet. But
there is the possibility that Moscow could act together with Assad,
right on the Kurdish leverage to decrease the impact of the role that
Ankara wanted to hire. The
counter will be what the Kremlin considers the most important of the
geopolitics of the Middle East and economic relations that is weaving
with Ankara, which, however, has proven to be a totally reliable partner
for Russia, in a scenario where there are no certainties about the mutual relations.
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