Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
Cerca nel blog
martedì 11 ottobre 2016
Russia and Turkey closer
While
the presidential elections held focused attention on the US domestic
political problems, the international scenario does not standstill, and
setting out new agreements, which could precede more alliances,
certainly not welcome at the White House. This
is the case of the approach between Russia and Turkey, which appear to
have passed the disagreements due to the killing of Moscow military
plane, by Ankara. Economic and geopolitical reasons have constituted a valid reason to re-establish good relations between the two states. it
must be said that there are common features and similarities between
the two presidents, who could not but emerge in mutual dialogue: the
fact that Putin has praised Erdogan for the answer that the president
turkish was able to give to the coup, is,, particularly
eloquent and pleasing to Erdogan, who has never received similar
treatment from Europe and the US, which, indeed, have deeply criticized
the repression practiced by the central government in Ankara. But
the concrete bases for rapprochement have been agreements between the
respective ministers of energy and foreign, who have agreed on the
construction of a gas pipeline from Russia who come to the border
between Turkey and Greece. Moscow
for the construction of this infrastructure is the alternative to the
pipeline had to cross Ukraine and which, whose construction was
abandoned after the events in Crimea and the state of tension that
continues between Kiev and the Kremlin. The
purpose of the pipeline will be to transport natural gas to Europe,
even if the flow rate provided appears overestimated for the European
application. Moscow
seems to wager as well on a production and economic recovery of the
continent, or, rather, of difficulties of supply related to the unstable
situation of the Arab producing countries. However
one of the customers that should increase their own needs, seems to be
Turkey, where natural gas is the primary source of energy, which is a
considerable reduction was granted on the purchase price, by Russia. In the field of energy it was also signed a bilateral agreement for the construction of a nuclear power plant. Erdogan
confirmed that bilateral talks will not stop to energy issues, but will
also address the defense, tourism (Turkey is a destination for many
Russians), cultural and other economic reports, concerning the
re-opening to imports from the Russia of Turkish agricultural products and aerospace cooperation. If
the agreement on economic issues appeared almost complete, the main
difficulties were recorded on geopolitical issues related to the Syrian
conflict. Moscow
and Ankara are on opposite sides, Russia supports Assad, while Turkey
has tried in every way to overthrow him from power; However,
Erdogan has recently shown signs of rapprochement with Damascus, thanks
to the agreement about the fight against Kurdish fighters. Ankara
fears more than anything else the establishment of a sovereign Kurdish
enclave to its borders and, to avoid this possibility, it has shown
itself willing to reconsider the presence of Assad, in a future set-up
of the Syrian country. This
factor is an element able to start the ninth only a dialogue, but also a
partnership between Russia and Turkey, on the Syrian issue, which will
be also possible military arrangements, to make harmless the armed
groups, who still reject the presence of Assad in future of Syria. We
must, however, consider that several of these armed groups are
supported by the United States, which would plan to supply them with new
arms shipments. It
is understandable that Putin's strategy has two concrete objectives: to
continue the action of breaking international isolation and increasing
internal strife Atlantic Alliance between Washington and Ankara. Despite
that the White House had granted the openings to stop the ambitions of
independence of the Syrian Kurds, just to get a rapprochement with
Turkey, these developments on the relations between Ankara and Moscow
can not do portend a new departure. It
is not the economic issue, which, however, damages the US policy of
isolation towards Moscow, to annoy Washington, as the value of Turkey as
the only Muslim member of the Atlantic Alliance to worry the White
House, both almost immediate implications in Syrian scenario, both on a long-term view on loyalty as an ally of Turkey, given its increasing proximity to the Russian enemy. These
agreements between Turkey and Russia, may, therefore, alter the
European and Western geopolitical balance, without a direct commitment
of the new US president to try to recover the relationship with Ankara.
Iscriviti a:
Commenti sul post (Atom)
Nessun commento:
Posta un commento