Politica Internazionale

Politica Internazionale

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venerdì 25 novembre 2016

The EU suspends negotiations with Turkey for membership in Brussels

The European Parliament's decision, taken by a large majority, to block officially the negotiations of accession of Turkey to the European Union, does not change substantially, the state of things, because the process was already in the process of stagnation, but it is important from the point of symbolic and political views, because it marks the official condemnation of the turkish regime to have greatly reduced civil rights under the guise of the attempted coup, the dynamics of which has not yet been clarified. Finally Brussels took a decision to dense deep political significance, which requires a sentence to Ankara, which seems to be final, unless substantial changes will intervene in the internal politics of the turkish government and the attitude of President Erdogan. The decision makes official a distancing between the EU and Turkey, which began long before Erdogan started a restriction of civil rights, and that began with the breakthrough confessional imposed by President turkish and that had caused a secular deterioration of the image of the country. Despite its rapprochement between the two sides, as determined by the emergency refugees, from which Turkey hoped to have some advantages, especially for the movement of its citizens in EU countries and for the hope of an acceleration of the accession process Brussels, the road taken by Erdogan again dismissed the two parts in a way so far never occurred since the beginning of the accession process. Although the turkish president had repeatedly belittled, recently, the possibility to enter Europe, the decision has aroused deep disappointment, both in the turkish government and opposition, albeit for different reasons. The European refusal is for Turkey and for the ambitions of Erdogan a defeat, which negatively affects the prestige, already tarnished, the turkish government in the international arena. For Ankara, isolated on different issues, keep open, even with remote possibility, the possibility of an entry into Europe was also a way to maintain an official dialogue with Brussels; conversely the freezing process is a diplomatic closure which is also an official rejection, and a conviction, the turn autocratic Erdogan. It is, that is, questioned officially, outside the convictions expressed by individual members, the manner of governing the turkish government, in defiance of respect for human and civil rights. For the opposition to Erdogan, conversely, it is the end of the claw hope possible entry into Europe represented: the obligatory adaptation to Western standards of respect for human rights. However, on this point, the Turkish opposition hope appears when too vain are not possible, for Europe, engaging in this area, with a government that borders on dictatorship and that would upset the European political system, not not at the vote for the blockade of the accession process of Turkey has been a large majority. This vote, ie, can be read as an instrument of pressure against Erdogan to protect itself opposition. On the other hand Europe with this resolution assumes a great responsibility towards herself, for possible retaliation that Turkey can exercise. It is estimated that the turkish soil, refugees are about three and a half million people: open the borders for entry into Europe, even if only a portion of the occupants of the camps, is a threat to European stability, already suffering from failure collaboration on the allocation of quotas of migrants, by different states. Erdogan is aware of having this huge retaliatory weapon for blocking the negotiations and has already openly threatened to use it if Europe does not change his attitude. It remains so difficult to predict developments of the story: if Erdogan will follow up on its threats, the relationship with Brussels will be permanently closed, and indeed, could become even worse, if Europe decides to apply sanctions for violations of the rights, conversely not engage in any retaliation will result in a decrease in the interior of the turkish president prestige, that will be weakened by the European decision. Making predictions is so far from easy, if not for the certainty of the deterioration of relations between the two parties that will open a new diplomatic front to European borders.

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