Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 18 novembre 2016
The first foreign policy signals Trump
The
first appointment of the new president of the United States, Donald
Trump, with diplomacy, has revealed an approximation and a worrying
amateurism. The
occasion was a meeting with the Japanese Prime Minister, Shinzo Abe,
who was, in fact, the first meeting with a foreign head of state. Tokyo
was considered, until now, a strategic partner of the US, by the end of
the Second World War and this importance has grown with the increased
emphasis that the eastern area is cladding, both in terms of
geopolitical balance, and economic. For
the Obama administration this part of the world must have had an even
greater centrality of the Middle East, for the simultaneous presence of
the world's biggest competitor in Washington, China, and was considered
the most dangerous to the nuclear balance, North Korea. But
also to the economic issue, with the oversight of marine transportation
routes, essential for goods, it had placed particular emphasis,
especially when connected with the many problems of sovereignty of the
islands of the eastern seas and thus by their exclusive economic zones,
which assumed for the United States a direct and ongoing commitment, through the presence of men and military means. In
this scenario, the role of the Japanese country has always played the
role of chief ally of US power, repeatedly disputed aspect during the
election campaign by the new president. In
view of Trump, despite the expressed will to consolidate the American
country to play the role of first world power, foreign policy seems to
have become less central, in favor of a greater internal commitment,
passable only with a reduction in resources allocated to the allies to be able to employ in policies to promote a policy of expanding in the United States. Within
these projects the general warning to all those countries which have so
far taken advantage, according to Trump, American protection and who
have not invested adequate funds for their defense; as well as the role of the Alliance Atlantic, where the US commitment is too unbalanced, compared to that of other allies. Despite
the importance of Japan in the context of American allies, the meeting
between Trump and Abe has been agreed with the State Department and has
not played in any institutional setting, but in a palace owned by the
new occupant of the White House . The
lack of support of the Department of State indicates a willingness to
Trump not to want to work with bodies, perhaps because the senior
positions are still occupied by the previous administration loyal staff,
and a fundamental refusal to respect the times and ways of politics. On
the other hand this can not constitute an element of surprise, because
of his character and conduct of the election campaign, but has, however,
become a regular feature, to be considered in an essential, from now
on, as the characterization of the new American diplomacy. Forget
the politically correct is something for internal application and
another in foreign policy, because diplomacy has always been
characterized by measured tones and meanings, often in relief, but allow
to give a reading through the nuances of diplomatic contacts and which, frequently, generate, very specific reactions. With
Trump this no longer seems to be possible because we enter a new era,
where it is preferred the direct approach and even outside of normal
diplomatic channels. There
is also a perception that Trump has not realized the importance of
foreign policy, also necessary for the development of the economy in an
increasingly globalized world. If
you can understand the need to ask for a greater commitment to the
allied countries, in the framework of the defense policy, they must be
considered the consequences, which will lead inevitably to a reduction
of the importance of the American on the international stage. The
result of a policy less inclined to a major role of the US, which have
already started with Obama, although in very different sizes, will be
forced away from Washington, which will become more and more isolated. Subjects
such as Europe or Japan itself with South Korea, will have to find new
forms of cooperation and military integration, more and more independent
from the US, which, if successful, will diminish American influence. This
may allow Trump to grim resources to internal problems, but the
electoral statements of an increased American international power, will
only be disproved.
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