Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 17 gennaio 2017
Trump may be an opportunity for Europe
The
president-elect of the United States, Donald Trump, said all his favor
to the United Kingdom and its exit policy by the European Union,
negatively judging the German supremacy and acceptance of political
refugees in Berlin, at the same time, he stated that the Atlantic Alliance is an obsolete instrument, especially as regards the fight against terrorism. Beyond
the statements, sometimes impromptu, the new American president, one
can not find a pattern in these judgments, perhaps a little confused,
but that makes for a well-defined goal. The
European Union, with this structure does not meet the criteria that the
new US administration, or at least for its chief representative,
imagines to enable Member States to reap the benefits that the new
government program has to reach. Trump
for the current Europe is no longer an opportunity, but a cost, both
from the political point of view, because it complicates relations with
Putin, both from the military, because it does not invest resources
sufficiently in defense, leaving this role to Washington, both economically, because it can be a potentially dangerous competitor in the global market. The
intent of the new White House becomes to create divisions within the
Union, taking advantage of the already large differences that exist
between the various members, for economic reasons, connected, that is,
the financial, between advocates of budget rigidity and the expansionary policy and the contrasting fortunes on solutions on how to solve the immigration problem. The
appreciation for Britain to exit from the union is the means to divide
even more Europe on the eve of important elections, focusing on those
movements who want an even more divided Union; At
the same time the search for a particular his agreement with London, on
trade and movement of goods, reveals the intention of taking possession
of the British market and, thereby, depriving Brussels. In
a short time the climate of cooperation, present with Obama, are now
turning into a report that promises to be very troubled. But
this is not necessarily exclusively a problem, as opposed to Europe
could be a chance capable of forcing once and for all the members of the
Union to question in an effective way on the real needs of the
organization in Brussels and act accordingly. Certainly
it is necessary to abandon the current arrangement on which the Union
is based organization, a structure too weak politically and still too
focused on the single currency and the leadership of Berlin. The first thing to avoid is the abandonment of the founding countries, on which you can base the shared-European sentiments. Then
the role of Berlin must not be more protective of their autonomy, but
should encourage the sharing of responsibilities, which should target
the achievement to get as close as possible to a political union, as a
starting point to become a party to international importance. Without this step you will not arrive at a common defense project, which also includes an integrated European military force. Reach
this goal seems to have become essential, especially if Trump will
implement his plans to reduce the US financial commitment to Europe. To
reach the new organizational structure necessary, it will be mandatory
to revise the treaties and build a union with these countries really
convinced to renounce their sovereignty to Brussels. Certainly
it will be guaranteed a different Union address, more attentive to the
needs of citizens and not to those for financial INSTITUTIONS Against
and must balance the needs of different territories, which is difficult
but not impossible. Maybe
it will be harder to convince the countries of eastern Europe, which
until now, have not distinguished for collaborative spirit, but they
have only benefited from the advantages of the Union. For
them you can think of two options: either a looser bond, but with lower
European investment or the total exclusion from the new EU
organization, which does not always make a formal undertaking to adhere
to the principles of political unity. These
solutions have been postponed for too long, the arrival of Trump, after
the UK release, require drastic and decisive solutions: the period in
which stall is definitely over.
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