The Israeli raid in Syria are a message to Moscow

The signs of tension between Syria and Israel are likely to worsen in a very worrying the already difficult situation of the Middle East. The issue between the two countries has continued for long, since, namely Iran, major ally of Damascus, has decided to send military equipment intended mainly to Hezbollah, Israel's main adversary from the Lebanese side. If the contrasting episodes are taking place between the Syrian military forces and Israeli ones, actually the real goal of Tel Aviv Tehran, acting behind Syria. In this last phase of the incident Israel had once again spent the Syrian border, in violation of international law, to bomb with its planes a convoy of weapons, which apparently was intended precisely to Hezbollah, in the Palmyra area. According to the anti-Syria Damascus he would bring down an Israeli plane had denied from Tel Aviv. The relevant fact is that Israel usually keeps absolute secrecy about its military operations, but now published its response activated to stop the Syrian missiles, through the use of the new anti-missile system, developed with the United States. The recipient of this message, it really does not seem to be neither Syria nor Iran, but Russia, which, since it operates alongside Assad, has chosen the Hezbollah militia allies in the Syrian conflict. It is possible that this response has been specially packaged for the Kremlin after the summit between Putin and Netanyahu, the Israelis had not received the necessary assurances. The fear of Israel is that the proximity between Russian and Hezbollah could help to bring the militias Islamic activities on the border with the Jewish state, with possible actions for their trespass on the territory of Israel. So, despite the good relations between Moscow and Tel Aviv, very close to other international issues, for Israel the defense of national security is to be given priority over any other reason. These developments are likely to bring in the Syrian situation a new element that can produce a significant alteration of balance, especially when you consider the potential involvement, alongside Israel, the United States. President Trump has said since the election campaign near Tel Aviv and in favor of a new approach of dialogue with Moscow, but a comparison between these two actors should ensure US support to the Israelis. However recompose this fracture should be easier than it sounds: Tel Aviv is rather indifferent to the future of Assad and in fact has never taken a position against Damascus, preferring the dictatorship in power rather than one that would consider a drift democratic able to bring country into chaos, as happened in many Arab countries after the so-called Arab spring, or worse, the establishment of a religious nature power over their borders; Israel is what he wants to be sure that Hezbollah is as inoffensive as possible, so Russia should give up or at least reduce its alliance with the Islamic militia. For this to be effective, however, it is necessary that the Kremlin can convince Iran, a country which is much closer after entering the Syrian conflict. seems to be no doubt that Tehran will continue an underground and unofficial action against Israel, which, however, also takes place in the opposite direction and the alliance with Moscow can be exploited, in the thoughts of the ayatollahs also for this purpose. The risk is to be initiated attrition activities potentially very dangerous because Israel can escalate and involve international actors of great density. Paradoxically, the presence of Trump seems may have greater chance of defusing the issue for relations, for now, more relaxed between Washington and Moscow, which Obama would not be guaranteed; However, Israel does not seem willing to compromise, and the only way to avoid dangerous accidents seems to be a different attitude of Moscow towards the alliance with Hezbollah: a definition faster than the Syrian issue might also help to normalize the affair and an attitude more relaxed in Tel Aviv.