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giovedì 20 luglio 2017

Israel does not want Iranian military at its border

During the meeting with the French president, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu opposed a truce in southern Syria, as it would strengthen Iran's position in the region. The fear of Tel Aviv is to be threatened at the same time by Hizbullah formation, the Libyan border and the presence of Iranian military forces on the Syrian border. Conflict between Israel and Iran is very profound and has already generated military confrontation episodes in the past, nevertheless recognized by both sides. It was bombing Iranian convoys or spying actions aimed at countering their activities. Iranian aversion to the Israeli state does not seem to be attenuated even after the moderate turning point that confirmed the current government. This confrontation is likely to become a further obstacle to the resolution of the Syrian question, because it aggravates a particularly difficult and confusing scenario. The relationship between Israel and the Assad regime was, in sum, peaceful, because Damascus, although officially opposed to the Israeli state, did not favor actions against Tel Aviv, however, the scenario of the conflict changed the overall situation, Importance in Syria of Russia and Iran, probably at the expense of Assad itself, however sustained by the two countries. Netanyahu is opposed to the agreed rift between Russia and the United States for the southern part of the country, because a stalemate in the conflict could involve sending Iranian militants to the Golan area, bordering on Israel. If this possibility were to occur, the danger of close confrontation between the armed forces of the two enemy countries would become very concrete. This possibility should be a negotiating matter for negotiators, so as to avoid a new aggravating factor for the Syrian scenario, which will become the likely trigger factor for the enlargement of the conflict in the region. This aspect must not be underestimated at all, to avoid a disaster of enormous proportions, such as to upset the whole global set-up. Israel's demands on US diplomats to avoid the presence of Iranian militias, even only as military advisers, and Hezbollah militia officers in southern Syria, have been at the center of numerous discussions with White House officials; Tel Aviv also declined the presence of Russia in southern Syria to exercise control over the possible arrival of Iranian militants. Israeli fears are that between Moscow and Theran, allied to supporting Assad, there is a silent collaboration that could damage Tel Aviv's interests. The impression is that good relations between Israel and Russia may have deteriorated when Moscow, in support of Damascus, voluntarily or involuntarily favored Iran's position in Syria; On the other hand, the Israeli country, albeit not officially, is part of the alliance formed by the Gulf and Sunni monarchies, which aims to combat the growing influence of Tehran in the Middle East and, consequently, the instances of Shiites. It is an alliance that is between governments but is not supported by the Sunni popular base, which continues to perceive the Israeli state as illegitimate on Arab soil. It should also be remembered that many of these Sunni states have been among the Islamic State's financiers, initially thought of as a tool to conquer the Syrian country and create a platform against the Shiite invasion. This determines that the current contiguity between Israel and the Sunnis is purely instrumental, but does not seem to have a solid foundation, especially until Tel Aviv blocks the birth of a Palestinian state. These additional considerations exacerbate the general picture of the situation, especially as appeals to US diplomats in Israel seem to have not been heard, as the US have confirmed their intention to pursue austerity with Russia for Syrian South. What is to be hoped for is that Israel does not make autonomous decisions against forces that could be identified as hostile: in order to avoid this, diplomatic labor should become even more intense and that Syria will expand to other countries in the region in order to find agreement factors And stabilization that meet the favor of subjects with even opposing interests.

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