Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
Cerca nel blog
giovedì 20 luglio 2017
Israel does not want Iranian military at its border
During
the meeting with the French president, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu
opposed a truce in southern Syria, as it would strengthen Iran's
position in the region. The
fear of Tel Aviv is to be threatened at the same time by Hizbullah
formation, the Libyan border and the presence of Iranian military forces
on the Syrian border. Conflict
between Israel and Iran is very profound and has already generated
military confrontation episodes in the past, nevertheless recognized by
both sides. It was bombing Iranian convoys or spying actions aimed at countering their activities. Iranian
aversion to the Israeli state does not seem to be attenuated even after
the moderate turning point that confirmed the current government. This
confrontation is likely to become a further obstacle to the resolution
of the Syrian question, because it aggravates a particularly difficult
and confusing scenario. The
relationship between Israel and the Assad regime was, in sum, peaceful,
because Damascus, although officially opposed to the Israeli state, did
not favor actions against Tel Aviv, however, the scenario of the
conflict changed the overall situation, Importance in Syria of Russia and Iran, probably at the expense of Assad itself, however sustained by the two countries. Netanyahu
is opposed to the agreed rift between Russia and the United States for
the southern part of the country, because a stalemate in the conflict
could involve sending Iranian militants to the Golan area, bordering on
Israel. If
this possibility were to occur, the danger of close confrontation
between the armed forces of the two enemy countries would become very
concrete. This
possibility should be a negotiating matter for negotiators, so as to
avoid a new aggravating factor for the Syrian scenario, which will
become the likely trigger factor for the enlargement of the conflict in
the region. This
aspect must not be underestimated at all, to avoid a disaster of
enormous proportions, such as to upset the whole global set-up. Israel's
demands on US diplomats to avoid the presence of Iranian militias, even
only as military advisers, and Hezbollah militia officers in southern
Syria, have been at the center of numerous discussions with White House
officials; Tel
Aviv also declined the presence of Russia in southern Syria to exercise
control over the possible arrival of Iranian militants. Israeli
fears are that between Moscow and Theran, allied to supporting Assad,
there is a silent collaboration that could damage Tel Aviv's interests. The
impression is that good relations between Israel and Russia may have
deteriorated when Moscow, in support of Damascus, voluntarily or
involuntarily favored Iran's position in Syria; On
the other hand, the Israeli country, albeit not officially, is part of
the alliance formed by the Gulf and Sunni monarchies, which aims to
combat the growing influence of Tehran in the Middle East and,
consequently, the instances of Shiites. It
is an alliance that is between governments but is not supported by the
Sunni popular base, which continues to perceive the Israeli state as
illegitimate on Arab soil. It
should also be remembered that many of these Sunni states have been
among the Islamic State's financiers, initially thought of as a tool to
conquer the Syrian country and create a platform against the Shiite
invasion. This
determines that the current contiguity between Israel and the Sunnis is
purely instrumental, but does not seem to have a solid foundation,
especially until Tel Aviv blocks the birth of a Palestinian state. These
additional considerations exacerbate the general picture of the
situation, especially as appeals to US diplomats in Israel seem to have
not been heard, as the US have confirmed their intention to pursue
austerity with Russia for Syrian South. What
is to be hoped for is that Israel does not make autonomous decisions
against forces that could be identified as hostile: in order to avoid
this, diplomatic labor should become even more intense and that Syria
will expand to other countries in the region in order to find agreement
factors And stabilization that meet the favor of subjects with even opposing interests.
Iscriviti a:
Commenti sul post (Atom)
Nessun commento:
Posta un commento