Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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giovedì 13 luglio 2017
The English situation
The worsening of the British economy goes hand in hand with the aggravation of the political crisis. It
seems that the outcome of the referendum on leaving the European Union
and the establishment of Theresa May in the role of prime minister, has
led to a negative economic situation, from which the United Kingdom can
not get out. The
start of negotiations to leave Europe is near and London is still
oscillating to make the decision to go softly or without too much
bargaining because of the result of an unnecessary vote that has been
twisted against the Premier ,
Who promoted him unconsciously, and also the proponents of leaving
Europe, who are still unaware of what their impasse is about to slip
their country. The
Premier has come to urge the Labor Party to pursue a government program
which has not yet been formally declared, but which will probably not
meet the favors of the largest opposition party, even on a broad
agreement on how to exit Brussels . This
move has given political analysts a clear perception of the state of
deep uncertainty in which the destiny of the next government is pouring.
The
conservative party appears to have split and growing supporters of the
renunciation of the premier candidate in favor of a minority government,
which, even going beyond the best expectations, could only have new
elections as a milestone. The alternative solution, the boom of the prime minister, has aspects of even greater uncertainty. In
order to reach a minority, the conservatives should join the Northern
Irish Protestant Party, which would be heavily promised financial aid
for their territory; This
solution would, however, violate the peace agreements between Catholics
and Protestants, triggering again the Northern Ireland issue, whose
peace seemed to be well-founded. In
this climate of profound uncertainty, even the proposal made by the
prime minister and addressed to the European Parliament seems to be a
clear consequence of the confusion that reigns in London. In
essence, London would have, for European citizens in England, thought
of a sort of citizenship with less rights of British citizens; The proposal was rejected by all the political forces present in the European Parliament in a compact manner. This
cohesion should give the idea in London of Brussels's predisposition to
England and should also eliminate any illusion of having some chance of
dividing European countries. This,
in fact, was the strategy of the premier in charge, which aimed at
separate agreements with individual states, in order to seek more
favorable conditions. From
the Brussels reaction to the English proposal, one understands how this
intention is going to remain on paper and the fate of the UK is to deal
with the whole of the compact European Union. This
situation of deep uncertainty is compounded by the worsening of British
economic conditions, a scenario envisaged since the outcome of the vote
of the referendum, which, however, does not yet affect the effects of
the definitive abandonment of Europe, because of which it is lawful Predict, there will be another negative variation in the economic trends. In
this situation, the attitude of the main opposition party appears to be
waiting to see to what extent the conservative politics of self-defense
can be triggered; However,
this expectation appears to be exaggerated, especially with regard to
the exit from Brussels, for which Laborers continue to contradict,
probably to dissatisfaction with part of their electorate. It
remains to be said that England appears to be hostage to an impasse
created by its rulers and that there is no way out of it, except that of
a more and more damaging isolation for the British economy and society.
Isolation
coupled with the possible preferential alliance with the US does not
seem to be able to ward off a country's decline, which, without the
intervention of new facts, seems inevitable.
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