Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 13 luglio 2017

The English situation

The worsening of the British economy goes hand in hand with the aggravation of the political crisis. It seems that the outcome of the referendum on leaving the European Union and the establishment of Theresa May in the role of prime minister, has led to a negative economic situation, from which the United Kingdom can not get out. The start of negotiations to leave Europe is near and London is still oscillating to make the decision to go softly or without too much bargaining because of the result of an unnecessary vote that has been twisted against the Premier , Who promoted him unconsciously, and also the proponents of leaving Europe, who are still unaware of what their impasse is about to slip their country. The Premier has come to urge the Labor Party to pursue a government program which has not yet been formally declared, but which will probably not meet the favors of the largest opposition party, even on a broad agreement on how to exit Brussels . This move has given political analysts a clear perception of the state of deep uncertainty in which the destiny of the next government is pouring. The conservative party appears to have split and growing supporters of the renunciation of the premier candidate in favor of a minority government, which, even going beyond the best expectations, could only have new elections as a milestone. The alternative solution, the boom of the prime minister, has aspects of even greater uncertainty. In order to reach a minority, the conservatives should join the Northern Irish Protestant Party, which would be heavily promised financial aid for their territory; This solution would, however, violate the peace agreements between Catholics and Protestants, triggering again the Northern Ireland issue, whose peace seemed to be well-founded. In this climate of profound uncertainty, even the proposal made by the prime minister and addressed to the European Parliament seems to be a clear consequence of the confusion that reigns in London. In essence, London would have, for European citizens in England, thought of a sort of citizenship with less rights of British citizens; The proposal was rejected by all the political forces present in the European Parliament in a compact manner. This cohesion should give the idea in London of Brussels's predisposition to England and should also eliminate any illusion of having some chance of dividing European countries. This, in fact, was the strategy of the premier in charge, which aimed at separate agreements with individual states, in order to seek more favorable conditions. From the Brussels reaction to the English proposal, one understands how this intention is going to remain on paper and the fate of the UK is to deal with the whole of the compact European Union. This situation of deep uncertainty is compounded by the worsening of British economic conditions, a scenario envisaged since the outcome of the vote of the referendum, which, however, does not yet affect the effects of the definitive abandonment of Europe, because of which it is lawful Predict, there will be another negative variation in the economic trends. In this situation, the attitude of the main opposition party appears to be waiting to see to what extent the conservative politics of self-defense can be triggered; However, this expectation appears to be exaggerated, especially with regard to the exit from Brussels, for which Laborers continue to contradict, probably to dissatisfaction with part of their electorate. It remains to be said that England appears to be hostage to an impasse created by its rulers and that there is no way out of it, except that of a more and more damaging isolation for the British economy and society. Isolation coupled with the possible preferential alliance with the US does not seem to be able to ward off a country's decline, which, without the intervention of new facts, seems inevitable.

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