Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 5 luglio 2017
The meeting between China and Russia
The
meeting in Moscow among the highest representatives of China and Russia
confirms that the will of the two powers is to find agreements that can
protect their interests in the face of the international scenario that
is being shaped. The
interests of the two countries seem to be finding convergences
consistent with international policy, both on the general and the
special aspects. Certainly,
the current issue of the North Korean issue is at this moment central:
Pyongyang's continuing provocations are likely to cause a diplomatic
incident between Beijing and Washington, which has repeatedly urged
China to take concrete action to halt the dictator of North Korea . The
latest launch of the missile dropped in Japanese waters, virtually
coinciding with the Moscow summit, does not seem to be casual, but has
occurred to create more pressure on the Beijing authorities with the
aim, among others, of exasperating reports With the United States. Washington has already raised the tension with the transit of its military ship into the South China Sea; On
the other hand, the major US allies of the region, South Korea and
Japan, have repeatedly called for greater protection from the US, which
President Trump seems willing to concede despite election proclamations.
This
American presence close to what China believes to be its area of
influence leads to a situation of instability that contributes to the
uncertainty of relations between the two countries. But Beijing has its own faults, including the failure to bring North Korea into a less dangerous behavior. The
Beijing government seems to be in great difficulty in running
Pyongyang, both in view of not knowing how to exercise its leadership
over North Korea and not to give the United States the opportunity to
justify its presence in the region. Probably
the worst aspect is that the second world power is so only from an
economic point of view, but it is evident that with regard to Beijing's
international weight it is still distant both from Washington and from
Moscow if it can not contain Korea Of the North. The
ever closer relationship with Russia has to be read in this general
picture: the need for an important partner on an international level,
Moscow has increased its diplomatic weight with the choice to enter the
Syrian War to balance American power. The
United States, in spite of Trump's isolationist temptations, must still
continue to play its role as the first international power, because
they want weapons and industry lobbying and military leaders. On
the other hand, for Moscow, the relationship with China is economically
essential, with an exchange that by the end of 2017 can reach 80,000
million dollars, a sum for a country still subject to sanctions. Trump's
advent has led to a decrease in American influence over Europe, where
the contrasts with the new US administration have led Brussels to become
more and more autonomous and important on the international stage. Despite
this, however, the distance between Europe and the United States has
brought about a substantial approximation of Brussels to Beijing,
especially on environmental issues, which can lead to a substantial
increase in relations between the two sides. This
fact concerns Putin, because relations between Moscow and Europe are
still tight, both in the Ukrainian question and in the pressures of the
Eastern Union members and the Baltic republics, are exerting themselves
on Brussels, precisely in anti-Russian terms Especially for the fear of some, unlikely, Moscow military initiative against them. The
meeting, for Putin, is of particular importance in trying to establish
closer ties with China to prevent closer cooperation with Europe. The
situation is therefore constantly evolving, and beyond what is
obviously apparent, it seems unlikely to be hypothesized that this
meeting is also of particular importance to the relations between the
two states, which despite appearances have more than one Reason to be competitors, if not adversaries, in the international political scene.
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