Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 10 agosto 2017

Venezuela is isolated on an international level

In the Venezuelan crisis, there are two substantial aspects that need to be taken into account in analyzing the problem as a whole. The first, the most politically relevant, is the absolute denial of democracy, perpetrated through the management of the power that has taken on a familiar and clientele mode, in contravention of the written rules of political relations, which are subverted in a way to keep the government Of a country, now out of control of Maduro. It seems eloquent that he supported the Caracas regime as Cuba and China remained, expressions of undeniable power. The second aspect comes directly from the first, and is the absolute lack of respect for human rights through the use of torture. The United Nations has publicly reported this problem and has testified that Maduro is ruling the country using, in contravention of democratic rules, the violation of human rights. The use of preventive and unjustified arrest and torture in its most violent and violent forms, which may lead to the deaths of prisoners for political reasons, indicates that the Venezuelan country can increasingly be defined as an authentic dictatorship. This is now recognized internationally and determines the isolation of the country, which is not only diplomatic but also economical. Caracas's main business partners have decided that the body created by Maduro and called the constituent assembly will not be a recognized institutional subject, because it is not considered to be non-democratically elected and therefore the acts approved by the National Assembly will be considered legitimate. The matter is of great international significance, because in the Venezuelan parliament the majority is held by the opposition to Maduro, but this majority has been certified by regular elections. Of the eight main trading partners in Venezuela, seven: the United States, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, Italy and Germany have decided not to recognize the constituent assembly, while only Beijing has recognized the new organization. The effects of this decision could lead the country to economic collapse, due to the probable cessation of the flow of financial lending, which is indispensable for supplies. The Venezuelan economic situation, already before this decision taken internationally, was dramatic, being characterized by a fall in gross domestic product of 7.4% and conditioned by an inflation rate of 720%. In addition to political problems, Venezuela pays a little far-sighted industrial policy, which is based solely on crude oil extraction, whose barrel price has collapsed, contributing to the contraction of gross domestic product significantly; The absence of alternative industrial production has therefore caused a high unemployment situation, which is also the cause of protests and disputes over the government. The lack of raw material supply also affects the food and drug sectors, causing a highly unstable social situation, also because of precarious hygiene conditions of the population. These negative factors can not be mitigated by Chinese support, which is the second Venezuelan partner, but only for imported goods; Certain Beijing, given the great liquidity available, will be able to financially support the Caracas government by opening credit lines with its banking institutions, but this risks being just a prolongation of an executive encircled by isolation, just from neighboring countries. Over a short period of time, Maduro will attempt to exaggerate the National Assembly and empathize her with her powers and her legitimacy, but Caracas's strength appears to be limited, both from within and above all from abroad; So in the medium and long term it is not forbidden to foresee a fall in the regime, which may, unfortunately, also occur violently. On the other hand, even the exponents close to Maduro are being removed for their critical positions: a sign that the fracture is not only within the country, but in the same environment close to the Venezuelan president.

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