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mercoledì 6 settembre 2017

South Korea asks for help to Russia

The request for South Korea's help to Russia in the North Korean crisis marks a new one in the world diplomatic scenario. Seoul, a traditional Washington ally, contacts Moscow to expand the chances of a peaceful solution to the situation that has created Pyongyang. The first is that the relationship between US and South Korea is no longer exclusive, the second is that Seoul's request for help is directed at an opponent country in the United States, and the third is the most important thing that it buys Russia in the affair . This scenario is not uncommon: Trump's election distance between the US and South Korean countries has increased due to trade-related disagreements and political tensions due to the profound difference between the two heads of state. Even in the management of the North Korean crisis, Seoul would have preferred an attitude different from that adopted by the American president, more prudent and prudent. For South Korea, the country, which in the event of a conflict, even of a conventional type, would be the most involved, it is important to seek a diplomatic confrontation with Pyongyang: the main imperative is the interview; Trump's responses and attitude, at the moment only in words, went in the opposite direction, to contemplate the military solution, a hypothesis that has always been discarded by South Koreans. Despite all this, the two countries are bound to maintain close ties, and in this scenario is the decision of the White House to sell more sophisticated weapons to Seoul than to Tokyo, and to continue joint military exercises that so irritate Kim Jong- However, for Seoul, the need to find alternative partners, supporting the exclusive line of dialogue, has allowed Russia to enter into a scenario that could also lead to significant economic developments. Putin has been able to accredit itself as a factor of possible crisis stabilization in the eyes of South Koreans and play a potentially important role in resolving the crisis. The idea of ​​the Kremlin, which still does not recognize North Korea as nuclear power, is that with the sole sanctions the attitude of Pyongyang will not undergo variations; On the contrary, it is important not to isolate North Korea, but it needs to be involved in trilateral relations, between Seoul, Pyongyang and Moscow, which can develop dialogue through economic agreements. Putin seeks to capture two results at once: access to wealth in North Korean, coal and, above all, wealthy rare earth deposits, and the supply of Russian gas and electricity, of which Pyongyang is lacking in North Korea. In addition, the Kremlin leader's proposal focuses on infrastructure, proposing a development of the integration of the communication channels between the two countries. As Russia sees, it would like to adopt a solution opposite to the sanctions, and therefore the United States, and proposes to provide Pyongyang with elements of economic development capable of revitalizing the country's economy in exchange for a different Kim Jong's international attitude -a. Putin would thus accede to the level of an enlightened statesman, even against his image of a strong man, but this could allow him to enter softly in a region that is crucial to world economic traffic. It will be necessary to see how this innovation will be welcomed, as well as by the USA, China, which considers this area as its exclusive influence ground. If Beijing was already ill-treated to an American presence, precisely because of its alliances, not only with South Korea and Japan, but also with the increasing contacts with Vietnam, the possibility of Moscow entering the region could be a new element of controversy and a dispatch between Russia and China, so far only allied to convenience. The ultimate consideration is that Trump once again hurt his country with his short-sighted policy and without an organic plan, but only made of the reactions of the moment.

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