Russia and China, problems for Trump

There are two facts relevant to the United States, these days. The first concerns an article written by Rex Tillerson, the current Deputy State Secretary of State, who appeared in "The New York Times". The Secretary of State, in one passage of the paper, states that the USA is not on good terms with Moscow, with which it must, however, collaborate on issues of common interest, for the Russian expansionist policy, which has invaded Georgia and the Ukraine and, above all, has tried to violate the sovereignty of Western states trying to influence "our lessons" (text) and those of other nations. This is a resounding public admission, which in the coming days can not be subjected to very detailed analyzes and evaluations. Tillerson, writing this (scripta manent), contradicts Trump, who had publicly said he was trusting Putin's statements, which denied the Russian meddling in the US presidential elections. So we are creating a dualism that is certainly not convergent between the maximum US monocratic power and the highest representative of American foreign policy. What can this mean? If the action is agreed, due to a possible rethinking of the president, what we have to expect is a further deterioration of bilateral relations between the US and Russia and this in disregard of what was proposed Trump during the election campaign. The question could lead to a sharpening of the confrontation between East and West, which would also involve the relative allies, with all its consequences. It could be an address to which Trump could be forced by the military and professional politicians, who have never seen well approaching Washington with Moscow, precisely because of the protection of American interests, endangered by Russia's aggressive foreign policy. In this case Trump's autonomy in the presidential role would be greatly reduced. If, however, what was affirmed by Tillerson was an act deliberately contrary to Trump, what is to be expected is a war within American power, with the anti-Trump faction flanked by the investigators who investigate the convulsion of Russia in the election of the president in office. If a part of the American establishment, which supports Trump, should begin to change his mind about the modalities of his election, the solution of the impeachement would begin to become less remote. In both cases it appears chairo that Trump consistently risks a considerable weakening of his figure, especially on the internal level and also among those who publicly support him and support him. The second major case is the discovery of the oil supplies that China has made to North Korea. It is, of course, a discovery in a way of saying: the economy of Pyongyang is on its last legs, both for its structure, and for the sanctions to which it is subjected and without external aid the country would have already failed. In the same way it was evident that among those who violated sanctions, China could not be in spite of the pragmatic declarations. Trump's surprise is therefore fake (if it were not, we would be faced with too much dilettantism), but the story underlines how the United States, in this phase of world politics, is increasingly isolated, even by the historic allies of the Atlantic Alliance. The question of North Korea is about world security, but for the Americans it represents a threat to their country and the White House appears increasingly distant from those who can put pressure to cool the situation. If Washington were to acknowledge that the union between the two Koreas is impossible because they were contrary to the Chinese interests and imposed a policy of more relaxed relations with Beijing, perhaps the problem could start at a solution. On the contrary, a president like Trump seems too easy a target for China and Russia, to continue their policies aimed at achieving their exclusive goals. Once again, Trump demonstrates all his inadequacy and political inexperience, both on the domestic and on the international front. When it is time to analyze this period from the historical point of view, the judgment can only be one of the worst of American history.