Politica Internazionale

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martedì 16 gennaio 2018

The US intends to create a Kurdish force on the border with Turkey

The US intention to create a military force of about 30,000 people, made up of Arabs, Turkmen, but especially Kurds, with the aim of overseeing the borders with northern Syria, under the control of Assad, provoked the strong reaction of Damascus and Ankara. If between Washington and Syria Assad remain reasons for opposition, Turkey remains formally an American ally and also a member, among other things the only Islamic member, of the Atlantic Alliance. The political value, therefore, of the Pentagon's decision appears to be very relevant. Supporting the Kurdish militias means recognizing, implicitly, the right to territorial autonomy, the worst argument for the Turkish president, who has made the territorial integrity of the Turkish country one of its strengths. In fact, the first reaction of the government of Turkey to the USA has been condemnation of the threat to national security. The Turkish foreign minister has denounced the lack of prior information from Washington, an aspect that is certainly not secondary in the affair, which aggravates relations between the two countries. The perception is that the United States has not warned Ankara to prevent a preventive boycott of the establishment of the new military force and also for the lack of confidence in a regime that has probably supported the Islamic State. On the contrary for the Kurds to be an integral part of this military force, it has a precise meaning, which consists of the great consideration they enjoy at the American military command. This constitutes a further point of distance between Turkey and the USA, also because the pentagon, with this move, explicitly states in those who trust to put a barrier to the possible expansion of Assad. Probably also considerations of the nature of opportunities have been made regarding the convenience of relying on the Turkish military to face Assad, not least among them also the will not to exacerbate a confrontation between two international subjects on opposite fields, which could degenerate into a new conflict . In support of this military force there will be about 2,000 US troops, framed together with Kurdish militiamen, whom Turkey considers terrorists, a mink similar to that of Damascus, which considers the Syrians framed in this military force as traitors. With these premises the role of the new military force announces itself very difficult. In fact, Turkey has already deployed a series of missile batteries on the Syrian Kurdish border, ready to hit Kurdish military sites. Washington seems to have taken advantage of the moment of stasis of the Syrian conflict to occupy, with the help of the Kurds and also in their help, a portion of territory also to balance the Russian intervention, while maintaining a low profile: intention nullified by the protest of Ankara. For US diplomacy the challenge is to reconcile the proximity to the Kurds with the neglected reasons of the Turkish ally, taking into account the real possibility of seeing American soldiers involved in conflicts against the Turkish military: that is, what would occur would be hostile confrontations between members of the Atlantic Alliance. Trump does not seem to have expressed positive or negative opinions on Erdogan and even the involvement of the Kurds seems to be his work, the reality is that between the American military, and perhaps even among the professional diplomats, the authoritarian turn of Ankara was not welcome, while trust in the Kurds has never failed, especially from a political and military point of view. Tactically, even the Kurds, since the war against Saddam, have always offered full cooperation to the US military, also carrying out jobs where it was not possible to directly involve the US military: the tension with Turkey, which is already going from the Obama presidency, has accelerated collaboration with the Kurdish forces almost as an obligatory act and despite the formal alliance within the Atlantic Alliance that links Washington to Ankara. Of course this can reinforce the legitimate Kurdish aspiration to autonomy, triggering very dangerous reactions.

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