Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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martedì 16 gennaio 2018
The US intends to create a Kurdish force on the border with Turkey
The
US intention to create a military force of about 30,000 people, made up
of Arabs, Turkmen, but especially Kurds, with the aim of overseeing the
borders with northern Syria, under the control of Assad, provoked the
strong reaction of Damascus and Ankara. If
between Washington and Syria Assad remain reasons for opposition,
Turkey remains formally an American ally and also a member, among other
things the only Islamic member, of the Atlantic Alliance. The political value, therefore, of the Pentagon's decision appears to be very relevant. Supporting
the Kurdish militias means recognizing, implicitly, the right to
territorial autonomy, the worst argument for the Turkish president, who
has made the territorial integrity of the Turkish country one of its
strengths. In fact, the first reaction of the government of Turkey to the USA has been condemnation of the threat to national security. The
Turkish foreign minister has denounced the lack of prior information
from Washington, an aspect that is certainly not secondary in the
affair, which aggravates relations between the two countries. The
perception is that the United States has not warned Ankara to prevent a
preventive boycott of the establishment of the new military force and
also for the lack of confidence in a regime that has probably supported
the Islamic State. On
the contrary for the Kurds to be an integral part of this military
force, it has a precise meaning, which consists of the great
consideration they enjoy at the American military command. This
constitutes a further point of distance between Turkey and the USA,
also because the pentagon, with this move, explicitly states in those
who trust to put a barrier to the possible expansion of Assad. Probably
also considerations of the nature of opportunities have been made
regarding the convenience of relying on the Turkish military to face
Assad, not least among them also the will not to exacerbate a
confrontation between two international subjects on opposite fields,
which could degenerate into a new conflict . In
support of this military force there will be about 2,000 US troops,
framed together with Kurdish militiamen, whom Turkey considers
terrorists, a mink similar to that of Damascus, which considers the
Syrians framed in this military force as traitors. With these premises the role of the new military force announces itself very difficult. In
fact, Turkey has already deployed a series of missile batteries on the
Syrian Kurdish border, ready to hit Kurdish military sites. Washington
seems to have taken advantage of the moment of stasis of the Syrian
conflict to occupy, with the help of the Kurds and also in their help, a
portion of territory also to balance the Russian intervention, while
maintaining a low profile: intention nullified by the protest of Ankara. For
US diplomacy the challenge is to reconcile the proximity to the Kurds
with the neglected reasons of the Turkish ally, taking into account the
real possibility of seeing American soldiers involved in conflicts
against the Turkish military: that is, what would occur would be hostile
confrontations between members of the Atlantic Alliance. Trump
does not seem to have expressed positive or negative opinions on
Erdogan and even the involvement of the Kurds seems to be his work, the
reality is that between the American military, and perhaps even among
the professional diplomats, the authoritarian turn of Ankara was not
welcome, while trust in the Kurds has never failed, especially from a political and military point of view. Tactically,
even the Kurds, since the war against Saddam, have always offered full
cooperation to the US military, also carrying out jobs where it was not
possible to directly involve the US military: the tension with Turkey,
which is already going from the Obama presidency, has accelerated
collaboration with the Kurdish forces almost as an obligatory act and
despite the formal alliance within the Atlantic Alliance that links
Washington to Ankara. Of course this can reinforce the legitimate Kurdish aspiration to autonomy, triggering very dangerous reactions.
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